India Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow's maximum temperature near 41–42°C amid stable pre-monsoon conditions across the Ganges plain, with limited moisture and clear skies supporting moderate daytime heating. This aligns with historical mid-May averages of 39–42°C for the region and recent model runs showing no significant western disturbance or rainfall to suppress temperatures further. Trader consensus favors the 41°C-or-below bracket as the most probable outcome, while the narrow spread to 42°C reflects residual uncertainty in local heat-island effects and afternoon wind patterns. Official observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 84%
42°C 11%
43°C 2.4%
44°C <1%
$35,351 Vol.
$35,351 Vol.
41°C or below
84%
42°C
21%
43°C
2%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 84%
42°C 11%
43°C 2.4%
44°C <1%
$35,351 Vol.
$35,351 Vol.
41°C or below
84%
42°C
21%
43°C
2%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndia Meteorological Department forecasts for May 17 position Lucknow's maximum temperature near 41–42°C amid stable pre-monsoon conditions across the Ganges plain, with limited moisture and clear skies supporting moderate daytime heating. This aligns with historical mid-May averages of 39–42°C for the region and recent model runs showing no significant western disturbance or rainfall to suppress temperatures further. Trader consensus favors the 41°C-or-below bracket as the most probable outcome, while the narrow spread to 42°C reflects residual uncertainty in local heat-island effects and afternoon wind patterns. Official observations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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