Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport Station on May 17, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts afternoon heating. These conditions position the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 44%, with 15°C and 17°C as the nearest alternatives reflecting uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh this against typical mid-May climatology, where highs often reach 17–19°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the cooler range. Updated model runs and official observations from the National Meteorological Service will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 42%
15°C 34%
17°C 19%
18°C 2.8%
$19,671 Vol.
$19,671 Vol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
34%
16°C
42%
17°C
19%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 42%
15°C 34%
17°C 19%
18°C 2.8%
$19,671 Vol.
$19,671 Vol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$562 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,309 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,238 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,816 Vol.
2%
15°C
$2,584 Vol.
34%
16°C
$2,117 Vol.
42%
17°C
$2,321 Vol.
19%
18°C
$1,539 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,375 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,474 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,418 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport Station on May 17, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts afternoon heating. These conditions position the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 44%, with 15°C and 17°C as the nearest alternatives reflecting uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh this against typical mid-May climatology, where highs often reach 17–19°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the cooler range. Updated model runs and official observations from the National Meteorological Service will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$19,671End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport Station on May 17, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts afternoon heating. These conditions position the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 44%, with 15°C and 17°C as the nearest alternatives reflecting uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh this against typical mid-May climatology, where highs often reach 17–19°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the cooler range. Updated model runs and official observations from the National Meteorological Service will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,671End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMCurrent forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport Station on May 17, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts afternoon heating. These conditions position the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 44%, with 15°C and 17°C as the nearest alternatives reflecting uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. Traders weigh this against typical mid-May climatology, where highs often reach 17–19°C, but recent stable high-pressure patterns favor the cooler range. Updated model runs and official observations from the National Meteorological Service will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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