Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models place the June 15 high temperature in New York City near 80°F, producing the tight contest between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. A building ridge and southerly flow favor daytime warming, yet modest cloud cover, a possible late sea-breeze shift, and small timing differences in peak insolation keep the two leading outcomes nearly even. Historical June variability and the narrow spread in deterministic runs reinforce trader focus on the next model update and any rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月15日紐約市的最高溫度?
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 16.9%
76-77°F 7%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或以上
<1%
78-79°F 35%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 16.9%
76-77°F 7%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models place the June 15 high temperature in New York City near 80°F, producing the tight contest between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. A building ridge and southerly flow favor daytime warming, yet modest cloud cover, a possible late sea-breeze shift, and small timing differences in peak insolation keep the two leading outcomes nearly even. Historical June variability and the narrow spread in deterministic runs reinforce trader focus on the next model update and any rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions