Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service confirm the highest reading in New York City on May 16 reached 76-77°F at primary stations including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport. This outcome reflects direct instrumental measurements of daily maximum temperature under standard protocols, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines around 70-75°F and prevailing atmospheric conditions. Market-implied odds near 100% for this range incorporate the finalized observational data, leaving negligible uncertainty for other brackets. Revised station records or a shift in the designated reporting site remain the primary scenarios that could alter resolution, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$181,918 Vol.
$181,918 Vol.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$181,918 Vol.
$181,918 Vol.
May 16, 2026
76-77°F
$45,210 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$27,060 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$30,907 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$22,880 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$16,863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service confirm the highest reading in New York City on May 16 reached 76-77°F at primary stations including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport. This outcome reflects direct instrumental measurements of daily maximum temperature under standard protocols, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines around 70-75°F and prevailing atmospheric conditions. Market-implied odds near 100% for this range incorporate the finalized observational data, leaving negligible uncertainty for other brackets. Revised station records or a shift in the designated reporting site remain the primary scenarios that could alter resolution, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$181,918End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service confirm the highest reading in New York City on May 16 reached 76-77°F at primary stations including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport. This outcome reflects direct instrumental measurements of daily maximum temperature under standard protocols, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines around 70-75°F and prevailing atmospheric conditions. Market-implied odds near 100% for this range incorporate the finalized observational data, leaving negligible uncertainty for other brackets. Revised station records or a shift in the designated reporting site remain the primary scenarios that could alter resolution, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$181,918End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service confirm the highest reading in New York City on May 16 reached 76-77°F at primary stations including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport. This outcome reflects direct instrumental measurements of daily maximum temperature under standard protocols, consistent with mid-May climatological baselines around 70-75°F and prevailing atmospheric conditions. Market-implied odds near 100% for this range incorporate the finalized observational data, leaving negligible uncertainty for other brackets. Revised station records or a shift in the designated reporting site remain the primary scenarios that could alter resolution, though such changes are uncommon once initial reports are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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