Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a modest daytime warming trend for Paris on May 17, with afternoon highs most likely reaching 16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a gradual clearing after several days of cooler, unstable conditions earlier in the week, when maxima stayed near or below 17°C. Historical mid-May climatology places typical highs around 18–20°C, but current model consensus shows slightly suppressed values due to lingering moisture and limited solar heating. Traders are weighting the 16°C outcome highest because recent model runs have stabilized near that threshold, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris, making any late-day forecast revision the next key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 66%
17°C 22%
15°C 14%
18°C 1.1%
$76,227 Vol.
$76,227 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
14%
16°C
66%
17°C
22%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 66%
17°C 22%
15°C 14%
18°C 1.1%
$76,227 Vol.
$76,227 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,469 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$10,485 Vol.
1%
15°C
$8,916 Vol.
14%
16°C
$10,379 Vol.
66%
17°C
$10,037 Vol.
22%
18°C
$8,406 Vol.
1%
19°C
$11,474 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$4,027 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a modest daytime warming trend for Paris on May 17, with afternoon highs most likely reaching 16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a gradual clearing after several days of cooler, unstable conditions earlier in the week, when maxima stayed near or below 17°C. Historical mid-May climatology places typical highs around 18–20°C, but current model consensus shows slightly suppressed values due to lingering moisture and limited solar heating. Traders are weighting the 16°C outcome highest because recent model runs have stabilized near that threshold, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris, making any late-day forecast revision the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$76,227End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a modest daytime warming trend for Paris on May 17, with afternoon highs most likely reaching 16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a gradual clearing after several days of cooler, unstable conditions earlier in the week, when maxima stayed near or below 17°C. Historical mid-May climatology places typical highs around 18–20°C, but current model consensus shows slightly suppressed values due to lingering moisture and limited solar heating. Traders are weighting the 16°C outcome highest because recent model runs have stabilized near that threshold, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris, making any late-day forecast revision the next key catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$76,227End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and the ECMWF indicate a modest daytime warming trend for Paris on May 17, with afternoon highs most likely reaching 16°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. This positioning stems from a gradual clearing after several days of cooler, unstable conditions earlier in the week, when maxima stayed near or below 17°C. Historical mid-May climatology places typical highs around 18–20°C, but current model consensus shows slightly suppressed values due to lingering moisture and limited solar heating. Traders are weighting the 16°C outcome highest because recent model runs have stabilized near that threshold, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover develop. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris, making any late-day forecast revision the next key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions