Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Seattle will reach a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on June 14 amid the season’s first notable heat wave, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced solar heating with light northerly winds limiting marine influence. Latest guidance clusters around 84–87°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with historical late-spring peaks but elevated relative to June normals near 74°F. Trader positioning favoring 88–89°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing and potential model underestimation of downslope warming from the Cascades, while lower bins remain discounted absent significant onshore flow or cloud cover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria based on official KSEA observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on June 14?
88-89°F 50%
86-87°F 35%
90-91°F 5.1%
84-85°F 2.6%
$16,881 交易量
$16,881 交易量
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
50%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 50%
86-87°F 35%
90-91°F 5.1%
84-85°F 2.6%
$16,881 交易量
$16,881 交易量
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
35%
88-89°F
50%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from NOAA and private sources indicate Seattle will reach a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on June 14 amid the season’s first notable heat wave, driven by a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and enhanced solar heating with light northerly winds limiting marine influence. Latest guidance clusters around 84–87°F at Sea-Tac, consistent with historical late-spring peaks but elevated relative to June normals near 74°F. Trader positioning favoring 88–89°F reflects uncertainty in afternoon mixing and potential model underestimation of downslope warming from the Cascades, while lower bins remain discounted absent significant onshore flow or cloud cover. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine resolution criteria based on official KSEA observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions