Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds near certainty for that outcome. This positioning aligns with typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, where light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta moderate daytime heating close to seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will determine resolution, though minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before the end of the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
27°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$47,554 Vol.
$47,554 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.9%
28°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$47,554 Vol.
$47,554 Vol.
May 17, 2026
21°C or below
$1,761 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,788 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,875 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$5,998 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,854 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,456 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,723 Vol.
100%
28°C
$5,029 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,761 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,269 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$5,040 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds near certainty for that outcome. This positioning aligns with typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, where light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta moderate daytime heating close to seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will determine resolution, though minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$47,554End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Weather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds near certainty for that outcome. This positioning aligns with typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, where light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta moderate daytime heating close to seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will determine resolution, though minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before the end of the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$47,554End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZWeather model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles has converged on a maximum of 27°C for Shenzhen today, driving the market-implied odds near certainty for that outcome. This positioning aligns with typical subtropical spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, where light winds, partial cloud cover, and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta moderate daytime heating close to seasonal norms of 26–28°C. Official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will determine resolution, though minor forecast adjustments or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before the end of the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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