Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on May 18 centers on the latest China Meteorological Administration model runs projecting a peak near 29 °C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup favors modest onshore flow and limited afternoon convection, keeping daytime maxima in the upper 20s while seasonal climatology for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta places average highs around 29–31 °C. Small spreads across 28 °C and 27 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover timing and urban heat-island amplification, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. New model guidance and observational updates expected overnight will further refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 18?
29°C 29%
28°C 26%
27°C 19%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
26%
29°C
29%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
28°C 26%
27°C 19%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$592 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$270 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$571 Vol.
1%
26°C
$99 Vol.
7%
27°C
$206 Vol.
19%
28°C
$157 Vol.
26%
29°C
$173 Vol.
29%
30°C
$396 Vol.
15%
31°C
$201 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$432 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on May 18 centers on the latest China Meteorological Administration model runs projecting a peak near 29 °C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup favors modest onshore flow and limited afternoon convection, keeping daytime maxima in the upper 20s while seasonal climatology for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta places average highs around 29–31 °C. Small spreads across 28 °C and 27 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover timing and urban heat-island amplification, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. New model guidance and observational updates expected overnight will further refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$3,374End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on May 18 centers on the latest China Meteorological Administration model runs projecting a peak near 29 °C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup favors modest onshore flow and limited afternoon convection, keeping daytime maxima in the upper 20s while seasonal climatology for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta places average highs around 29–31 °C. Small spreads across 28 °C and 27 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover timing and urban heat-island amplification, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. New model guidance and observational updates expected overnight will further refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,374End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZTrader sentiment for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on May 18 centers on the latest China Meteorological Administration model runs projecting a peak near 29 °C under a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge. This setup favors modest onshore flow and limited afternoon convection, keeping daytime maxima in the upper 20s while seasonal climatology for mid-May in the Pearl River Delta places average highs around 29–31 °C. Small spreads across 28 °C and 27 °C outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in cloud cover timing and urban heat-island amplification, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. New model guidance and observational updates expected overnight will further refine these probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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