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icon for Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?

icon for Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?

May 13

May 14

May 15

May 13

May 14

May 15

32°C or higher 91.6%

31°C 8.4%

30°C 1.7%

29°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$20,352 Vol.

32°C or higher 91.6%

31°C 8.4%

30°C 1.7%

29°C <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$20,352 Vol.

22°C or below

$993 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$992 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,357 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$616 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$774 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$2,203 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$3,319 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$3,142 Vol.

1%

30°C

$2,333 Vol.

2%

31°C

$2,830 Vol.

8%

32°C or higher

$2,115 Vol.

92%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on May 14, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C amid ongoing heatwave conditions, corroborated by AccuWeather's 90°F (32°C) outlook and UK Met Office models showing 33°C. Elevated temperatures stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies, suppressing sea-breeze cooling typical for coastal Tel Aviv, with recent days already seeing above-average heat including yellow heat-stress warnings on May 12. Historical May highs average 26°C, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer development or forecast model shifts in evening updates, though official NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport will resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,352
End Date
May 14, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 91% implied probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature reaching 32°C or higher on May 14, driven by the Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime peak of 32°C amid ongoing heatwave conditions, corroborated by AccuWeather's 90°F (32°C) outlook and UK Met Office models showing 33°C. Elevated temperatures stem from a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies, suppressing sea-breeze cooling typical for coastal Tel Aviv, with recent days already seeing above-average heat including yellow heat-stress warnings on May 12. Historical May highs average 26°C, underscoring the anomaly. Realistic challenges include unexpected marine layer development or forecast model shifts in evening updates, though official NOAA measurements at Ben Gurion Airport will resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,352
End Date
May 14, 2026
Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "32°C or higher" at 92%, followed by "31°C" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?" has generated $20.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?" is "32°C or higher" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "31°C" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.