The near-unanimous trader consensus at 94.5% for 32°C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 14 stems from aligned official forecasts, including the Israel Meteorological Service projecting a daytime high of 32°C at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's resolution site—under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. This follows recent above-normal warmth, with May 12 highs near 31°C versus seasonal averages around 27°C, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS models indicating 30–34°C peaks amid moderate westerly winds. Realistic challenges include strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes or unexpected cloud cover capping temperatures at 30–31°C; overnight model runs and intraday observations from NOAA data will provide final clarity before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 14?
32°C or higher 91.8%
31°C 7.8%
30°C 1.4%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
$18,859 Vol.
NEW
$18,859 Vol.
May 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
92%
32°C or higher 91.8%
31°C 7.8%
30°C 1.4%
22°C or below <1%
NEW
$18,859 Vol.
NEW
$18,859 Vol.
May 14, 2026
22°C or below
$993 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$992 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,357 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$616 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$774 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,771 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,547 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,679 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,228 Vol.
1%
31°C
$2,825 Vol.
8%
32°C or higher
$2,107 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-unanimous trader consensus at 94.5% for 32°C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 14 stems from aligned official forecasts, including the Israel Meteorological Service projecting a daytime high of 32°C at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's resolution site—under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. This follows recent above-normal warmth, with May 12 highs near 31°C versus seasonal averages around 27°C, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS models indicating 30–34°C peaks amid moderate westerly winds. Realistic challenges include strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes or unexpected cloud cover capping temperatures at 30–31°C; overnight model runs and intraday observations from NOAA data will provide final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Volume
$18,859End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-unanimous trader consensus at 94.5% for 32°C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 14 stems from aligned official forecasts, including the Israel Meteorological Service projecting a daytime high of 32°C at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's resolution site—under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. This follows recent above-normal warmth, with May 12 highs near 31°C versus seasonal averages around 27°C, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS models indicating 30–34°C peaks amid moderate westerly winds. Realistic challenges include strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes or unexpected cloud cover capping temperatures at 30–31°C; overnight model runs and intraday observations from NOAA data will provide final clarity before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,859End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-unanimous trader consensus at 94.5% for 32°C or higher in Tel Aviv on May 14 stems from aligned official forecasts, including the Israel Meteorological Service projecting a daytime high of 32°C at Ben Gurion Airport—the market's resolution site—under a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. This follows recent above-normal warmth, with May 12 highs near 31°C versus seasonal averages around 27°C, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS models indicating 30–34°C peaks amid moderate westerly winds. Realistic challenges include strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes or unexpected cloud cover capping temperatures at 30–31°C; overnight model runs and intraday observations from NOAA data will provide final clarity before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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