**Recent forecasts indicate a cool, unsettled pattern for Warsaw on June 16, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 19–20 °C under cloudy skies and light rain or drizzle.** This keeps the market tightly split between the 19 °C (38 %) and 20 °C (34 %) outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow difference between a modest peak and slight suppression from precipitation. Primary drivers include an influx of cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating, and moderate westerly winds that enhance mixing and prevent stronger surface warming. Official guidance from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com shows highs around 18–19 °C (64–67 °F) with ongoing showers, while climatological June averages near 22 °C highlight how this transient cool anomaly is pulling probabilities downward. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any rain bands, creating the observed 45–55 % range between the two leading bins and leaving room for minor revisions as new data arrive before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
19°C 39%
20°C 31%
18°C 16%
21°C 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
16%
19°C
39%
20°C
31%
21°C
7%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 39%
20°C 31%
18°C 16%
21°C 7.0%
最新
最新
2026-06-16
15°C或以下
$18 交易量
1%
16°C
$79 交易量
<1%
17°C
$39 交易量
3%
18°C
$168 交易量
16%
19°C
$97 交易量
39%
20°C
$116 交易量
31%
21°C
$62 交易量
7%
22°C
$5 交易量
2%
23°C
$254 交易量
1%
24°C
$406 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate a cool, unsettled pattern for Warsaw on June 16, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 19–20 °C under cloudy skies and light rain or drizzle.** This keeps the market tightly split between the 19 °C (38 %) and 20 °C (34 %) outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow difference between a modest peak and slight suppression from precipitation.
Primary drivers include an influx of cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating, and moderate westerly winds that enhance mixing and prevent stronger surface warming. Official guidance from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com shows highs around 18–19 °C (64–67 °F) with ongoing showers, while climatological June averages near 22 °C highlight how this transient cool anomaly is pulling probabilities downward.
Short-range model runs remain sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any rain bands, creating the observed 45–55 % range between the two leading bins and leaving room for minor revisions as new data arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,329結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts indicate a cool, unsettled pattern for Warsaw on June 16, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 19–20 °C under cloudy skies and light rain or drizzle.** This keeps the market tightly split between the 19 °C (38 %) and 20 °C (34 %) outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow difference between a modest peak and slight suppression from precipitation.
Primary drivers include an influx of cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating, and moderate westerly winds that enhance mixing and prevent stronger surface warming. Official guidance from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com shows highs around 18–19 °C (64–67 °F) with ongoing showers, while climatological June averages near 22 °C highlight how this transient cool anomaly is pulling probabilities downward.
Short-range model runs remain sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any rain bands, creating the observed 45–55 % range between the two leading bins and leaving room for minor revisions as new data arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,329結束日期
2026-06-16市場開放時間
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Recent forecasts indicate a cool, unsettled pattern for Warsaw on June 16, 2026, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 19–20 °C under cloudy skies and light rain or drizzle.** This keeps the market tightly split between the 19 °C (38 %) and 20 °C (34 %) outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow difference between a modest peak and slight suppression from precipitation. Primary drivers include an influx of cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating, and moderate westerly winds that enhance mixing and prevent stronger surface warming. Official guidance from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com shows highs around 18–19 °C (64–67 °F) with ongoing showers, while climatological June averages near 22 °C highlight how this transient cool anomaly is pulling probabilities downward. Short-range model runs remain sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any rain bands, creating the observed 45–55 % range between the two leading bins and leaving room for minor revisions as new data arrive before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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