Recent MetService and global model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 19 May, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere feature moderate southerly winds across Cook Strait and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating, anchoring temperatures near the long-term May average high. Small differences in steering flow or brief clear spells could shift the peak by a degree either way, while stronger northerly advection remains the main variable that would favor the 15 °C band. Official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market once final data are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on May 19?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 19?
14°C 42%
15°C 34%
13°C 14%
16°C 6%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
42%
15°C
34%
16°C
6%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 42%
15°C 34%
13°C 14%
16°C 6%
NEW
NEW
May 19, 2026
8°C or below
$407 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$35 Vol.
3%
12°C
$24 Vol.
3%
13°C
$277 Vol.
14%
14°C
$252 Vol.
42%
15°C
$84 Vol.
34%
16°C
$30 Vol.
6%
17°C
$132 Vol.
4%
18°C or higher
$176 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService and global model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 19 May, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere feature moderate southerly winds across Cook Strait and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating, anchoring temperatures near the long-term May average high. Small differences in steering flow or brief clear spells could shift the peak by a degree either way, while stronger northerly advection remains the main variable that would favor the 15 °C band. Official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market once final data are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,652End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent MetService and global model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 19 May, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere feature moderate southerly winds across Cook Strait and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating, anchoring temperatures near the long-term May average high. Small differences in steering flow or brief clear spells could shift the peak by a degree either way, while stronger northerly advection remains the main variable that would favor the 15 °C band. Official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market once final data are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,652End Date
May 19, 2026Market Opened
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNRecent MetService and global model consensus points to a daytime maximum of 14–15 °C for Wellington on 19 May, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Mid-autumn conditions in the Southern Hemisphere feature moderate southerly winds across Cook Strait and variable cloud cover that limit solar heating, anchoring temperatures near the long-term May average high. Small differences in steering flow or brief clear spells could shift the peak by a degree either way, while stronger northerly advection remains the main variable that would favor the 15 °C band. Official observations at Wellington International Airport will resolve the market once final data are recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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