Recent forecasts from the National Meteorological Center of China, supported by ensemble runs from major global models, converge on a daily maximum of 31 °C for Wuhan today. This outcome is driven by typical mid-May seasonal warming across the Yangtze River valley, combined with moderate southerly flow that advects warmer air while partial cloud cover caps surface heating and limits further rises. Historical climatology places average May highs near 26–28 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above baseline but remains within normal variability. A rapid shift to clearer skies or stronger warm-air advection could push readings toward 32 °C, though current observational trends and model consensus make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 16?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$80,641 Vol.
$80,641 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$80,641 Vol.
$80,641 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the National Meteorological Center of China, supported by ensemble runs from major global models, converge on a daily maximum of 31 °C for Wuhan today. This outcome is driven by typical mid-May seasonal warming across the Yangtze River valley, combined with moderate southerly flow that advects warmer air while partial cloud cover caps surface heating and limits further rises. Historical climatology places average May highs near 26–28 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above baseline but remains within normal variability. A rapid shift to clearer skies or stronger warm-air advection could push readings toward 32 °C, though current observational trends and model consensus make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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