Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover limiting further gains. This aligns with May climatology around the region, where average highs reach 26–29°C, and recent observational trends from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station showing consistent peaks near this threshold. Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced the 28°C outcome at near-certainty, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range ensemble guidance. A sudden increase in insolation from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering winds could still push readings to 29–30°C, though current model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,698 Vol.
$53,698 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$53,698 Vol.
$53,698 Vol.
May 17, 2026
24°C or below
$3,314 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,402 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,976 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$14,191 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,024 Vol.
100%
29°C
$3,640 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,357 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,797 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,021 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover limiting further gains. This aligns with May climatology around the region, where average highs reach 26–29°C, and recent observational trends from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station showing consistent peaks near this threshold. Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced the 28°C outcome at near-certainty, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range ensemble guidance. A sudden increase in insolation from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering winds could still push readings to 29–30°C, though current model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$53,698End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover limiting further gains. This aligns with May climatology around the region, where average highs reach 26–29°C, and recent observational trends from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station showing consistent peaks near this threshold. Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced the 28°C outcome at near-certainty, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range ensemble guidance. A sudden increase in insolation from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering winds could still push readings to 29–30°C, though current model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$53,698End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHLatest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daily maximum of 28°C for Wuhan on May 17, supported by light southerly flow beneath a modest subtropical ridge that favors daytime warming with partial cloud cover limiting further gains. This aligns with May climatology around the region, where average highs reach 26–29°C, and recent observational trends from the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station showing consistent peaks near this threshold. Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced the 28°C outcome at near-certainty, reflecting the narrow uncertainty range in short-range ensemble guidance. A sudden increase in insolation from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering winds could still push readings to 29–30°C, though current model agreement makes such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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