Recent forecasts from models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate morning lows in Seoul near 19–20°C on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and light winds. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where average June lows have climbed from mid-teens earlier in the month toward 19–21°C as daytime highs reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Trader positioning around 20°C (50%) and 21°C (30.5%) reflects these consensus model outputs and the absence of cooler air advection, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below account for minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat effects. Official KMA updates and short-range guidance remain the key near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月14日首尔最低气温?
21°C 88%
20°C 36%
19°C 6%
18°C <1%
$10,154 交易量
$10,154 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
36%
21°C
77%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
21°C 88%
20°C 36%
19°C 6%
18°C <1%
$10,154 交易量
$10,154 交易量
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
36%
21°C
77%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate morning lows in Seoul near 19–20°C on June 14, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with limited overnight radiative cooling due to humidity and light winds. This aligns with early-summer climatology, where average June lows have climbed from mid-teens earlier in the month toward 19–21°C as daytime highs reach the upper 20s to low 30s. Trader positioning around 20°C (50%) and 21°C (30.5%) reflects these consensus model outputs and the absence of cooler air advection, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below account for minor uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat effects. Official KMA updates and short-range guidance remain the key near-term drivers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题