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Politics·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politics·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Radu Burnete 29%

Șerban Matei 22%

Dragoș Pîslaru 18.0%

Sorin Grindeanu 13%

Polymarket

$342,262 Vol.

Radu Burnete 29%

Șerban Matei 22%

Dragoș Pîslaru 18.0%

Sorin Grindeanu 13%

Polymarket

$342,262 Vol.

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$686 Vol.

28%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$823 Vol.

22%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$20 Vol.

18%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$62,419 Vol.

13%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$129 Vol.

12%

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$58 Vol.

11%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$46,789 Vol.

11%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$49,406 Vol.

5%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$11,204 Vol.

4%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$8,567 Vol.

2%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$10,904 Vol.

1%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$5,878 Vol.

1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$5,311 Vol.

1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$7,092 Vol.

1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$5,689 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$4,777 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$10,043 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$7,396 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$7,894 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$5,168 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$5,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$7,495 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$8,581 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$30,767 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$9,058 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$5,131 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$6,696 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$7,539 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$11,168 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Nicușor Dan's announcement on May 12 that he may nominate Romania's next prime minister as early as next week has kept trader consensus tightly split among Dragoș Pîslaru (USR, 49.9%), Alexandru Nazare (PNL finance minister, 49.9%), and Alexandru Rogobete (former PSD health minister, 49.0%), reflecting intense coalition negotiations after Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU government collapsed in a May 5 no-confidence vote backed by PSD and far-right AUR over austerity and budget deficit disputes. Pro-Western parties PNL and USR seek a minority government or new alliance excluding PSD, but parliamentary arithmetic demands cross-party support for a confidence vote; separation could arise from consultation outcomes, party endorsements, or PSD's pivot amid EU funding pressures and fiscal deadlines.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$342,262
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Nicușor Dan's announcement on May 12 that he may nominate Romania's next prime minister as early as next week has kept trader consensus tightly split among Dragoș Pîslaru (USR, 49.9%), Alexandru Nazare (PNL finance minister, 49.9%), and Alexandru Rogobete (former PSD health minister, 49.0%), reflecting intense coalition negotiations after Ilie Bolojan's pro-EU government collapsed in a May 5 no-confidence vote backed by PSD and far-right AUR over austerity and budget deficit disputes. Pro-Western parties PNL and USR seek a minority government or new alliance excluding PSD, but parliamentary arithmetic demands cross-party support for a confidence vote; separation could arise from consultation outcomes, party endorsements, or PSD's pivot amid EU funding pressures and fiscal deadlines.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$342,262
End Date
May 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Radu Burnete" at 28%, followed by "Șerban Matei" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" has generated $342.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Romania?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" is "Radu Burnete" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Șerban Matei" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.