Genta Koja holds an 89.1% implied probability in the Okinawa gubernatorial election market due to consolidated backing from the Liberal Democratic Party, Japan Innovation Party, Democratic Party for the People, and other conservative groups, plus explicit support from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. His acceptance of the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma aligned with central government priorities, while voter surveys highlighted economy, employment, and prices as top concerns over base issues. Incumbent Denny Tamaki, seeking a third term with opposition party and All Okinawa coalition support focused on blocking the relocation, sits at 0.1%. The remaining candidates trail as longshots after a late-August campaign launch that featured limited polling movement until exit-poll indications on voting day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGenta Koja 100.0%
Denny Tamaki <1%
Mikio Shimoji <1%
Takashi Higa <1%
$27,669 Vol.
$27,669 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Denny Tamaki
No
Genta Koja
Yes
Mikio Shimoji
No
Takashi Higa
No
Chosuke Yara
No
Shun Kaneshima
No
Masahiro Sueyoshi
No
Genta Koja 100.0%
Denny Tamaki <1%
Mikio Shimoji <1%
Takashi Higa <1%
$27,669 Vol.
$27,669 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Denny Tamaki
$17,322 Vol.
No
Genta Koja
$6,404 Vol.
Yes
Mikio Shimoji
$908 Vol.
No
Takashi Higa
$807 Vol.
No
Chosuke Yara
$702 Vol.
No
Shun Kaneshima
$702 Vol.
No
Masahiro Sueyoshi
$824 Vol.
No
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Genta Koja holds an 89.1% implied probability in the Okinawa gubernatorial election market due to consolidated backing from the Liberal Democratic Party, Japan Innovation Party, Democratic Party for the People, and other conservative groups, plus explicit support from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. His acceptance of the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma aligned with central government priorities, while voter surveys highlighted economy, employment, and prices as top concerns over base issues. Incumbent Denny Tamaki, seeking a third term with opposition party and All Okinawa coalition support focused on blocking the relocation, sits at 0.1%. The remaining candidates trail as longshots after a late-August campaign launch that featured limited polling movement until exit-poll indications on voting day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Volume
$27,669End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Genta Koja holds an 89.1% implied probability in the Okinawa gubernatorial election market due to consolidated backing from the Liberal Democratic Party, Japan Innovation Party, Democratic Party for the People, and other conservative groups, plus explicit support from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. His acceptance of the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma aligned with central government priorities, while voter surveys highlighted economy, employment, and prices as top concerns over base issues. Incumbent Denny Tamaki, seeking a third term with opposition party and All Okinawa coalition support focused on blocking the relocation, sits at 0.1%. The remaining candidates trail as longshots after a late-August campaign launch that featured limited polling movement until exit-poll indications on voting day.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$27,669End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Genta Koja holds an 89.1% implied probability in the Okinawa gubernatorial election market due to consolidated backing from the Liberal Democratic Party, Japan Innovation Party, Democratic Party for the People, and other conservative groups, plus explicit support from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi. His acceptance of the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma aligned with central government priorities, while voter surveys highlighted economy, employment, and prices as top concerns over base issues. Incumbent Denny Tamaki, seeking a third term with opposition party and All Okinawa coalition support focused on blocking the relocation, sits at 0.1%. The remaining candidates trail as longshots after a late-August campaign launch that featured limited polling movement until exit-poll indications on voting day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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