Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall with 19-25% support for one of Roraima’s two Senate seats, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) remain tightly clustered behind her in the fragmented field. Voters select two candidates, so the contest for second place hinges on how undecided voters—often exceeding 60% in spontaneous surveys—split their second preferences among these contenders. The October 4 election date leaves limited time for consolidation, and small shifts in turnout or late alliances could reorder the ranking. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second while the remaining field stays competitive within margins of error.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNicoletti 44.8%
Teresa Surita 28%
Helena da Asatur 9.3%
Chico Rodrigues 5.1%
$68,655 Vol.
$68,655 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
45%
Teresa Surita
28%
Helena da Asatur
9%
Chico Rodrigues
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 44.8%
Teresa Surita 28%
Helena da Asatur 9.3%
Chico Rodrigues 5.1%
$68,655 Vol.
$68,655 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$12,202 Vol.
45%
Teresa Surita
$21,897 Vol.
28%
Helena da Asatur
$4,859 Vol.
9%
Chico Rodrigues
$14,896 Vol.
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,188 Vol.
5%
Mario Rocha
$834 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall with 19-25% support for one of Roraima’s two Senate seats, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) remain tightly clustered behind her in the fragmented field. Voters select two candidates, so the contest for second place hinges on how undecided voters—often exceeding 60% in spontaneous surveys—split their second preferences among these contenders. The October 4 election date leaves limited time for consolidation, and small shifts in turnout or late alliances could reorder the ranking. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second while the remaining field stays competitive within margins of error.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$68,655End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall with 19-25% support for one of Roraima’s two Senate seats, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) remain tightly clustered behind her in the fragmented field. Voters select two candidates, so the contest for second place hinges on how undecided voters—often exceeding 60% in spontaneous surveys—split their second preferences among these contenders. The October 4 election date leaves limited time for consolidation, and small shifts in turnout or late alliances could reorder the ranking. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second while the remaining field stays competitive within margins of error.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$68,655End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall with 19-25% support for one of Roraima’s two Senate seats, while Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) remain tightly clustered behind her in the fragmented field. Voters select two candidates, so the contest for second place hinges on how undecided voters—often exceeding 60% in spontaneous surveys—split their second preferences among these contenders. The October 4 election date leaves limited time for consolidation, and small shifts in turnout or late alliances could reorder the ranking. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second while the remaining field stays competitive within margins of error.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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