In Roraima’s Senate contest for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with no single name commanding a dominant share after the August 15, 2026, registration deadline. Recent Veritá surveys from earlier in the cycle showed Antonio Denarium and Teresa Surita ahead before Denarium’s ineligibility ruling, leaving the race open among figures such as Hiperion de Oliveira, Helena da Asatur, Bartô Macuxi, Nicoletti, and Chico Rodrigues. Limited fresh statewide polling, high undecided shares, and the state’s small electorate keep probabilities closely bunched. Late-campaign developments including candidate alliances, targeted regional outreach, or new survey releases could consolidate support and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHiperion de Oliveira 46%
Rogério Miranda 46%
Regina Tio Ivo 45%
Márcio Junqueira 43%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Hiperion de Oliveira
46%
Rogério Miranda
46%
Regina Tio Ivo
45%
Márcio Junqueira
43%
Helio Bolsonaro
42%
Chico Rodrigues
41%
Teresa Surita
41%
Nicoletti
41%
Mario Rocha
39%
Bartô Macuxi
38%
Hilton Xavier
28%
Pastor Isamar
27%
Helena da Asatur
23%
Hiperion de Oliveira 46%
Rogério Miranda 46%
Regina Tio Ivo 45%
Márcio Junqueira 43%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Hiperion de Oliveira
$0 Vol.
46%
Rogério Miranda
$0 Vol.
46%
Regina Tio Ivo
$0 Vol.
45%
Márcio Junqueira
$0 Vol.
43%
Helio Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
42%
Chico Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
41%
Teresa Surita
$0 Vol.
41%
Nicoletti
$0 Vol.
41%
Mario Rocha
$0 Vol.
39%
Bartô Macuxi
$0 Vol.
38%
Hilton Xavier
$0 Vol.
28%
Pastor Isamar
$0 Vol.
27%
Helena da Asatur
$0 Vol.
23%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Roraima’s Senate contest for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with no single name commanding a dominant share after the August 15, 2026, registration deadline. Recent Veritá surveys from earlier in the cycle showed Antonio Denarium and Teresa Surita ahead before Denarium’s ineligibility ruling, leaving the race open among figures such as Hiperion de Oliveira, Helena da Asatur, Bartô Macuxi, Nicoletti, and Chico Rodrigues. Limited fresh statewide polling, high undecided shares, and the state’s small electorate keep probabilities closely bunched. Late-campaign developments including candidate alliances, targeted regional outreach, or new survey releases could consolidate support and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Roraima’s Senate contest for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with no single name commanding a dominant share after the August 15, 2026, registration deadline. Recent Veritá surveys from earlier in the cycle showed Antonio Denarium and Teresa Surita ahead before Denarium’s ineligibility ruling, leaving the race open among figures such as Hiperion de Oliveira, Helena da Asatur, Bartô Macuxi, Nicoletti, and Chico Rodrigues. Limited fresh statewide polling, high undecided shares, and the state’s small electorate keep probabilities closely bunched. Late-campaign developments including candidate alliances, targeted regional outreach, or new survey releases could consolidate support and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Roraima’s Senate contest for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with no single name commanding a dominant share after the August 15, 2026, registration deadline. Recent Veritá surveys from earlier in the cycle showed Antonio Denarium and Teresa Surita ahead before Denarium’s ineligibility ruling, leaving the race open among figures such as Hiperion de Oliveira, Helena da Asatur, Bartô Macuxi, Nicoletti, and Chico Rodrigues. Limited fresh statewide polling, high undecided shares, and the state’s small electorate keep probabilities closely bunched. Late-campaign developments including candidate alliances, targeted regional outreach, or new survey releases could consolidate support and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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