John Braun secured a commanding lead in the Washington 3rd Congressional District primary through strong Republican consolidation as state Senate minority leader, combined with a Trump endorsement and superior fundraising and name recognition. In the August 4 top-two primary, he captured nearly 39 percent overall, outpacing other GOP contenders who split minimal support. The outcome reflects unified party backing against a divided Democratic field, including a progressive challenger drawing significant votes. Remaining uncertainties center on final ballot tallies in a close overall race, though structural barriers like weak alternative candidacies make shifts improbable absent major late developments such as verified counting errors or candidate withdrawals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJohn Braun 100.0%
Antony Barran <1%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez <1%
Brent Hennrich <1%
$74,827 Vol.
$74,827 Vol.
Aug 3, 2026
Antony Barran
No
John Braun
Yes
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
No
Brent Hennrich
No
Austin Braswell
No
Lawrence Kellogg
No
John Saulie-Rohman
No
Troy Rasband
No
John P. Roco
No
John Braun 100.0%
Antony Barran <1%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez <1%
Brent Hennrich <1%
$74,827 Vol.
$74,827 Vol.
Aug 3, 2026
Antony Barran
$660 Vol.
No
John Braun
$42,402 Vol.
Yes
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
$27,173 Vol.
No
Brent Hennrich
$1,428 Vol.
No
Austin Braswell
$511 Vol.
No
Lawrence Kellogg
$671 Vol.
No
John Saulie-Rohman
$543 Vol.
No
Troy Rasband
$848 Vol.
No
John P. Roco
$591 Vol.
No
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.John Braun secured a commanding lead in the Washington 3rd Congressional District primary through strong Republican consolidation as state Senate minority leader, combined with a Trump endorsement and superior fundraising and name recognition. In the August 4 top-two primary, he captured nearly 39 percent overall, outpacing other GOP contenders who split minimal support. The outcome reflects unified party backing against a divided Democratic field, including a progressive challenger drawing significant votes. Remaining uncertainties center on final ballot tallies in a close overall race, though structural barriers like weak alternative candidacies make shifts improbable absent major late developments such as verified counting errors or candidate withdrawals.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$74,827End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.John Braun secured a commanding lead in the Washington 3rd Congressional District primary through strong Republican consolidation as state Senate minority leader, combined with a Trump endorsement and superior fundraising and name recognition. In the August 4 top-two primary, he captured nearly 39 percent overall, outpacing other GOP contenders who split minimal support. The outcome reflects unified party backing against a divided Democratic field, including a progressive challenger drawing significant votes. Remaining uncertainties center on final ballot tallies in a close overall race, though structural barriers like weak alternative candidacies make shifts improbable absent major late developments such as verified counting errors or candidate withdrawals.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
Volume
$74,827End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
John Braun secured a commanding lead in the Washington 3rd Congressional District primary through strong Republican consolidation as state Senate minority leader, combined with a Trump endorsement and superior fundraising and name recognition. In the August 4 top-two primary, he captured nearly 39 percent overall, outpacing other GOP contenders who split minimal support. The outcome reflects unified party backing against a divided Democratic field, including a progressive challenger drawing significant votes. Remaining uncertainties center on final ballot tallies in a close overall race, though structural barriers like weak alternative candidacies make shifts improbable absent major late developments such as verified counting errors or candidate withdrawals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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