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icon for WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Fred Clark 80%

Chris Armstrong 18%

Ginger Murray 16%

Polymarket
NEW

Fred Clark 80%

Chris Armstrong 18%

Ginger Murray 16%

Polymarket
NEW

Fred Clark

$0 Vol.

80%

Chris Armstrong

$0 Vol.

18%

Ginger Murray

$0 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Fred Clark holds a modest lead in the WI-07 Democratic primary market at 59.5% implied probability, while several other contenders and the field remain tightly clustered near 50% or below. The race stays competitive due to limited polling data, comparable name recognition among candidates, and ongoing fundraising and endorsement activity typical of an open-seat primary. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which contender can consolidate support among Democratic voters in the district ahead of the primary date. Key upcoming developments such as candidate debates, major endorsements, or shifts in campaign resources could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner momentum before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Fred Clark holds a modest lead in the WI-07 Democratic primary market at 59.5% implied probability, while several other contenders and the field remain tightly clustered near 50% or below. The race stays competitive due to limited polling data, comparable name recognition among candidates, and ongoing fundraising and endorsement activity typical of an open-seat primary. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over which contender can consolidate support among Democratic voters in the district ahead of the primary date. Key upcoming developments such as candidate debates, major endorsements, or shifts in campaign resources could widen gaps by clarifying frontrunner momentum before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fred Clark" at 80%, followed by "Chris Armstrong" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Fred Clark" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Armstrong" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.