With Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, the structural barriers to impeaching President Trump by June 30 remain substantial, aligning with the 98.8% implied probability that no such action will occur. The House alone initiates impeachment resolutions, and the compressed timeline through the end of June leaves little room for the investigative hearings, committee votes, and floor proceedings typically required. Recent legislative priorities have centered on appropriations and policy implementation rather than removal efforts, with no bipartisan momentum or major triggering events reported in the past month. Scenarios that could still shift trader assessments include an unforeseen scandal with immediate congressional traction, a sudden change in House leadership dynamics, or rapid erosion of intra-party support, though each would require developments outside current patterns.