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icon for Winnipeg Mayoral Election
Politics·Canada

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

icon for Winnipeg Mayoral Election
Politics·Canada

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Scott Gillingham 53%

Kevin Klein 28.9%

Don Woodstock 5.4%

Mazher Alam 5.3%

Polymarket

$26,920 Vol.

Scott Gillingham 53%

Kevin Klein 28.9%

Don Woodstock 5.4%

Mazher Alam 5.3%

Polymarket

$26,920 Vol.

icon for Scott Gillingham

Scott Gillingham

$15,107 Vol.

56%

icon for Kevin Klein

Kevin Klein

$692 Vol.

29%

icon for Don Woodstock

Don Woodstock

$4,727 Vol.

5%

icon for Mazher Alam

Mazher Alam

$2,223 Vol.

5%

icon for Michael Vogiatzakis

Michael Vogiatzakis

$1,732 Vol.

4%

icon for Joshua Pagdato

Joshua Pagdato

$276 Vol.

<1%

icon for Noah Redden

Noah Redden

$266 Vol.

<1%

icon for Umar Hayat

Umar Hayat

$222 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zachary Uminski

Zachary Uminski

$212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Christopher Clacio

Christopher Clacio

$315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Johnny Calderon

Johnny Calderon

$1,150 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Incumbent Scott Gillingham maintains a clear lead among decided voters in recent polling, supported by name recognition and his record on transit changes, housing starts, and community safety initiatives. A late September Abacus Data survey found 55 percent support for Gillingham among decided respondents versus 23 percent for Kevin Klein and 11 percent for Michael Vogiatzakis, though 51 percent of voters remain undecided one month before the October 28 election. Klein’s early September entry has split opposition support without consolidating alternatives, while the field of more than 15 candidates fragments attention on core issues like crime, transit safety, and property taxes. Ongoing candidate announcements on police staffing and public safety have not yet shifted the broad undecided pool or altered the incumbent’s edge in trader pricing.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$26,920
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Incumbent Scott Gillingham maintains a clear lead among decided voters in recent polling, supported by name recognition and his record on transit changes, housing starts, and community safety initiatives. A late September Abacus Data survey found 55 percent support for Gillingham among decided respondents versus 23 percent for Kevin Klein and 11 percent for Michael Vogiatzakis, though 51 percent of voters remain undecided one month before the October 28 election. Klein’s early September entry has split opposition support without consolidating alternatives, while the field of more than 15 candidates fragments attention on core issues like crime, transit safety, and property taxes. Ongoing candidate announcements on police staffing and public safety have not yet shifted the broad undecided pool or altered the incumbent’s edge in trader pricing.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$26,920
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Winnipeg Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scott Gillingham" at 56%, followed by "Kevin Klein" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" has generated $26.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Winnipeg Mayoral Election," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" is "Scott Gillingham" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kevin Klein" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.