President Trump's second term has advanced amid Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, creating structural barriers to impeachment that require broad bipartisan House support rarely seen in modern politics. Legislative activity has centered on appropriations, cabinet confirmations, and policy priorities rather than formal investigations targeting the president. Midterm polling for the 2026 House elections shows no decisive shift that would deliver Democrats the seats needed for articles of impeachment, and no major bipartisan scandals or procedural triggers have emerged. Traders price the 87% probability of no impeachment by the end of 2026 on these institutional realities and the historical pattern that opposition-party control is typically required to sustain such proceedings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Trump's second term has advanced amid Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress, creating structural barriers to impeachment that require broad bipartisan House support rarely seen in modern politics. Legislative activity has centered on appropriations, cabinet confirmations, and policy priorities rather than formal investigations targeting the president. Midterm polling for the 2026 House elections shows no decisive shift that would deliver Democrats the seats needed for articles of impeachment, and no major bipartisan scandals or procedural triggers have emerged. Traders price the 87% probability of no impeachment by the end of 2026 on these institutional realities and the historical pattern that opposition-party control is typically required to sustain such proceedings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions