Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará governor race with implied probabilities reflecting his consistent edge in most recent polling and name recognition as a former governor and national figure. Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from mid-September showed him at 47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%, though Real Time Big Data placed Elmano narrowly ahead at 47% to 42%. Second-round simulations generally favor Ciro by 5–8 points. The contest remains competitive two weeks before the October 4 first round, with Elmano drawing support from his party base and a planned visit by President Lula, while both candidates conduct regional carreatas and walks. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support across surveys.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$250,052 Vol.
$250,052 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
57%
Elmano de Freitas
42%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
<1%
Ciro Gomes 57%
Elmano de Freitas 42%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$250,052 Vol.
$250,052 Vol.
2026/10/04
Ciro Gomes
$116,491 Vol.
57%
Elmano de Freitas
$62,682 Vol.
42%
Eduardo Girão
$18,393 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$18,039 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$18,024 Vol.
<1%
カミロ・サンタナ
$16,424 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará governor race with implied probabilities reflecting his consistent edge in most recent polling and name recognition as a former governor and national figure. Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from mid-September showed him at 47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%, though Real Time Big Data placed Elmano narrowly ahead at 47% to 42%. Second-round simulations generally favor Ciro by 5–8 points. The contest remains competitive two weeks before the October 4 first round, with Elmano drawing support from his party base and a planned visit by President Lula, while both candidates conduct regional carreatas and walks. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support across surveys.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
音量
$250,052終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará governor race with implied probabilities reflecting his consistent edge in most recent polling and name recognition as a former governor and national figure. Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from mid-September showed him at 47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%, though Real Time Big Data placed Elmano narrowly ahead at 47% to 42%. Second-round simulations generally favor Ciro by 5–8 points. The contest remains competitive two weeks before the October 4 first round, with Elmano drawing support from his party base and a planned visit by President Lula, while both candidates conduct regional carreatas and walks. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support across surveys.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$250,052終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leads the Ceará governor race with implied probabilities reflecting his consistent edge in most recent polling and name recognition as a former governor and national figure. Datafolha and Paraná Pesquisas surveys from mid-September showed him at 47% against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) at 40%, though Real Time Big Data placed Elmano narrowly ahead at 47% to 42%. Second-round simulations generally favor Ciro by 5–8 points. The contest remains competitive two weeks before the October 4 first round, with Elmano drawing support from his party base and a planned visit by President Lula, while both candidates conduct regional carreatas and walks. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão and Capitão Wagner register negligible support across surveys.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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