Trader consensus around the 66-67°F outcome for San Francisco’s highest temperature on June 9 reflects verified National Weather Service observations confirming that peak reading at official stations. NOAA forecast models converged on this narrow range in the days leading up to the date, driven by a persistent marine layer that suppressed daytime warming under typical early-summer conditions. Climatological baselines for the first week of June show mean highs near 65–68°F with low variability, aligning with the market-implied odds. Any post-observation revision remains unlikely absent measurement discrepancies, as multiple sensors reported consistent values within the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山6月9日的最高溫度?
66-67°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$32,855 交易量
$32,855 交易量
華氏57度或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
66-67°F 100.0%
華氏57度或以下 <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$32,855 交易量
$32,855 交易量
華氏57度或以下
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 7, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus around the 66-67°F outcome for San Francisco’s highest temperature on June 9 reflects verified National Weather Service observations confirming that peak reading at official stations. NOAA forecast models converged on this narrow range in the days leading up to the date, driven by a persistent marine layer that suppressed daytime warming under typical early-summer conditions. Climatological baselines for the first week of June show mean highs near 65–68°F with low variability, aligning with the market-implied odds. Any post-observation revision remains unlikely absent measurement discrepancies, as multiple sensors reported consistent values within the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions