The tight clustering of probabilities across turnout ranges for Quebec’s October 5 general election reflects a competitive multi-party contest featuring the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals, alongside high undecided voter shares near 50 percent in recent polls. Key drivers include voter engagement with cost-of-living pressures, healthcare strains, U.S. tariffs, and sovereignty debates, tempered by the new 127-division electoral map and expanded advance-voting windows from late September. Elections Québec’s registration update period opening mid-September and outreach to roughly 6.4 million eligible voters could lift participation from the 66 percent recorded in 2022, while regional variations in francophone and anglophone mobilization add further uncertainty to the final rate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於74%以上 28%
62-66% 27%
70-74% 27%
低於 58% 26%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
低於 58%
26%
58-62%
24%
62-66%
27%
66-70%
24%
70-74%
27%
74%以上
28%
74%以上 28%
62-66% 27%
70-74% 27%
低於 58% 26%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
低於 58%
$40 交易量
26%
58-62%
$0 交易量
24%
62-66%
$0 交易量
27%
66-70%
$0 交易量
24%
70-74%
$0 交易量
27%
74%以上
$0 交易量
28%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight clustering of probabilities across turnout ranges for Quebec’s October 5 general election reflects a competitive multi-party contest featuring the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals, alongside high undecided voter shares near 50 percent in recent polls. Key drivers include voter engagement with cost-of-living pressures, healthcare strains, U.S. tariffs, and sovereignty debates, tempered by the new 127-division electoral map and expanded advance-voting windows from late September. Elections Québec’s registration update period opening mid-September and outreach to roughly 6.4 million eligible voters could lift participation from the 66 percent recorded in 2022, while regional variations in francophone and anglophone mobilization add further uncertainty to the final rate.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
交易量
$40結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight clustering of probabilities across turnout ranges for Quebec’s October 5 general election reflects a competitive multi-party contest featuring the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals, alongside high undecided voter shares near 50 percent in recent polls. Key drivers include voter engagement with cost-of-living pressures, healthcare strains, U.S. tariffs, and sovereignty debates, tempered by the new 127-division electoral map and expanded advance-voting windows from late September. Elections Québec’s registration update period opening mid-September and outreach to roughly 6.4 million eligible voters could lift participation from the 66 percent recorded in 2022, while regional variations in francophone and anglophone mobilization add further uncertainty to the final rate.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$40結束日期
2026-10-05市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETThe tight clustering of probabilities across turnout ranges for Quebec’s October 5 general election reflects a competitive multi-party contest featuring the Parti Québécois, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Liberals, alongside high undecided voter shares near 50 percent in recent polls. Key drivers include voter engagement with cost-of-living pressures, healthcare strains, U.S. tariffs, and sovereignty debates, tempered by the new 127-division electoral map and expanded advance-voting windows from late September. Elections Québec’s registration update period opening mid-September and outreach to roughly 6.4 million eligible voters could lift participation from the 66 percent recorded in 2022, while regional variations in francophone and anglophone mobilization add further uncertainty to the final rate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions