Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat based on its voting history, partisan voting index, and demographics across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties. Former U.S. Representative Jerry Carl secured the GOP nomination in the August 11, 2026 special primary, defeating challengers and positioning himself against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting consistent margins in prior cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. The commanding market consensus aligns with these structural advantages. Potential shifts could stem from an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant candidate-specific development, or unusually high opposition turnout, though historical patterns indicate such changes are rare in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,456 交易量
$40,456 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
3%
$40,456 交易量
$40,456 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$19,124 交易量
94%
民主党
$21,332 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat based on its voting history, partisan voting index, and demographics across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties. Former U.S. Representative Jerry Carl secured the GOP nomination in the August 11, 2026 special primary, defeating challengers and positioning himself against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting consistent margins in prior cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. The commanding market consensus aligns with these structural advantages. Potential shifts could stem from an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant candidate-specific development, or unusually high opposition turnout, though historical patterns indicate such changes are rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
交易量
$40,456结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat based on its voting history, partisan voting index, and demographics across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties. Former U.S. Representative Jerry Carl secured the GOP nomination in the August 11, 2026 special primary, defeating challengers and positioning himself against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting consistent margins in prior cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. The commanding market consensus aligns with these structural advantages. Potential shifts could stem from an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant candidate-specific development, or unusually high opposition turnout, though historical patterns indicate such changes are rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,456结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat based on its voting history, partisan voting index, and demographics across Mobile, Baldwin, and surrounding counties. Former U.S. Representative Jerry Carl secured the GOP nomination in the August 11, 2026 special primary, defeating challengers and positioning himself against Democratic nominee Clyde Jones in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting consistent margins in prior cycles and limited Democratic infrastructure. The commanding market consensus aligns with these structural advantages. Potential shifts could stem from an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant candidate-specific development, or unusually high opposition turnout, though historical patterns indicate such changes are rare in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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