Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+27 partisan voter index and incumbent Barry Moore vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3. Recent fundraising shows state Rep. Rhett Marques leading ex-Rep. Jerry Carl in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—tantamount to victory given historical margins exceeding 78%—while Democrats field weak challengers. A Supreme Court redistricting ruling last week prompted GOP legislation for potential special primaries in Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7, but current lines preserve the district's deep-red profile. Realistic challenges include a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, adverse court redraw making it competitive, or an improbable national Democratic wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,661 交易量
$35,661 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
4%
$35,661 交易量
$35,661 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$17,001 交易量
93%
民主党
$18,660 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+27 partisan voter index and incumbent Barry Moore vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3. Recent fundraising shows state Rep. Rhett Marques leading ex-Rep. Jerry Carl in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—tantamount to victory given historical margins exceeding 78%—while Democrats field weak challengers. A Supreme Court redistricting ruling last week prompted GOP legislation for potential special primaries in Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7, but current lines preserve the district's deep-red profile. Realistic challenges include a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, adverse court redraw making it competitive, or an improbable national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
交易量
$35,661结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+27 partisan voter index and incumbent Barry Moore vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3. Recent fundraising shows state Rep. Rhett Marques leading ex-Rep. Jerry Carl in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—tantamount to victory given historical margins exceeding 78%—while Democrats field weak challengers. A Supreme Court redistricting ruling last week prompted GOP legislation for potential special primaries in Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7, but current lines preserve the district's deep-red profile. Realistic challenges include a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, adverse court redraw making it competitive, or an improbable national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,661结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+27 partisan voter index and incumbent Barry Moore vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3. Recent fundraising shows state Rep. Rhett Marques leading ex-Rep. Jerry Carl in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—tantamount to victory given historical margins exceeding 78%—while Democrats field weak challengers. A Supreme Court redistricting ruling last week prompted GOP legislation for potential special primaries in Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7, but current lines preserve the district's deep-red profile. Realistic challenges include a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, adverse court redraw making it competitive, or an improbable national Democratic wave.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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