Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport, which peaked at exactly 18°C midday amid persistent cloud cover and isolated showers. This aligns with forecast model consensus for cool conditions following a recent cold front and stormy weather on May 11, featuring north-westerly winds and high moisture suppressing daytime heating below the early May climatological average of 20–22°C. With sunset approaching and no significant clearing anticipated, temperatures are unlikely to rise further; a realistic challenge would require an official SAWS revision from a secondary station exceeding 18°C, though current trends make this improbable. SAWS final daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,798 交易量
$52,798 交易量
2026-05-13
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$52,798 交易量
$52,798 交易量
2026-05-13
12°C or below
$2,437 交易量
No
13°C
$1,461 交易量
No
14°C
$3,534 交易量
No
15°C
$2,229 交易量
No
16°C
$3,966 交易量
No
17°C
$18,523 交易量
No
18°C
$4,625 交易量
Yes
19°C
$6,176 交易量
No
20°C
$2,966 交易量
No
21°C
$3,296 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$3,586 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport, which peaked at exactly 18°C midday amid persistent cloud cover and isolated showers. This aligns with forecast model consensus for cool conditions following a recent cold front and stormy weather on May 11, featuring north-westerly winds and high moisture suppressing daytime heating below the early May climatological average of 20–22°C. With sunset approaching and no significant clearing anticipated, temperatures are unlikely to rise further; a realistic challenge would require an official SAWS revision from a secondary station exceeding 18°C, though current trends make this improbable. SAWS final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$52,798结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport, which peaked at exactly 18°C midday amid persistent cloud cover and isolated showers. This aligns with forecast model consensus for cool conditions following a recent cold front and stormy weather on May 11, featuring north-westerly winds and high moisture suppressing daytime heating below the early May climatological average of 20–22°C. With sunset approaching and no significant clearing anticipated, temperatures are unlikely to rise further; a realistic challenge would require an official SAWS revision from a secondary station exceeding 18°C, though current trends make this improbable. SAWS final daily summary expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$52,798结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:41 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observational data from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) stations, including Cape Town International Airport, which peaked at exactly 18°C midday amid persistent cloud cover and isolated showers. This aligns with forecast model consensus for cool conditions following a recent cold front and stormy weather on May 11, featuring north-westerly winds and high moisture suppressing daytime heating below the early May climatological average of 20–22°C. With sunset approaching and no significant clearing anticipated, temperatures are unlikely to rise further; a realistic challenge would require an official SAWS revision from a secondary station exceeding 18°C, though current trends make this improbable. SAWS final daily summary expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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