Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–26°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partly sunny conditions, with limited diurnal heating from the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from global and regional forecasts converged on this range without significant warm or cool anomalies, supporting trader certainty. A realistic challenge would require revised official data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a peak outside 24°C due to station-specific readings or post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$43,890 交易量
$43,890 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$43,890 交易量
$43,890 交易量
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from Istanbul stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on June 11, 2026, aligning with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Early June climatology shows typical highs near 24–26°C under moderate northeasterly flow and partly sunny conditions, with limited diurnal heating from the Bosphorus and urban heat island effects. Recent model runs from global and regional forecasts converged on this range without significant warm or cool anomalies, supporting trader certainty. A realistic challenge would require revised official data from the Turkish State Meteorological Service showing a peak outside 24°C due to station-specific readings or post-processing adjustments, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports stabilize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题