Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, anchoring the near-certain market outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds suppressed daytime heating, keeping afternoon readings in the mid-teens Celsius under a stable spring air mass. These conditions aligned closely with ensemble forecasts that projected limited solar insolation and no significant warm advection. Higher thresholds remain improbable without revised station data or an uncharacteristic measurement error, both rare once preliminary reports are finalized. Traders can monitor any final quality-controlled bulletins for minor adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日巴黎气温最高?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$156,385 交易量
$156,385 交易量
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$156,385 交易量
$156,385 交易量
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official meteorological observations from Météo-France recorded a maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 16, anchoring the near-certain market outcome. Persistent cloud cover and light northeasterly winds suppressed daytime heating, keeping afternoon readings in the mid-teens Celsius under a stable spring air mass. These conditions aligned closely with ensemble forecasts that projected limited solar insolation and no significant warm advection. Higher thresholds remain improbable without revised station data or an uncharacteristic measurement error, both rare once preliminary reports are finalized. Traders can monitor any final quality-controlled bulletins for minor adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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