Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris winning 69% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic House election winner. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a competitive August 4 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney and Mary Waters, but the victor is poised for a comfortable general election victory on November 3, mirroring Thanedar's prior 68-71% margins over perennial Republican foe Martell Bivings amid a fragmented five-candidate GOP field. Independent Maurice Morton poses minimal threat given fundraising gaps—Thanedar holds over $5 million cash-on-hand. No major developments in the past 30 days; ratings unchanged. Upsets would require a post-primary Democratic scandal, GOP turnout surge, or crossover voting, defying district history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,598 交易量
$35,598 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
<1%
$35,598 交易量
$35,598 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$22,349 交易量
95%
共和党
$13,249 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris winning 69% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic House election winner. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a competitive August 4 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney and Mary Waters, but the victor is poised for a comfortable general election victory on November 3, mirroring Thanedar's prior 68-71% margins over perennial Republican foe Martell Bivings amid a fragmented five-candidate GOP field. Independent Maurice Morton poses minimal threat given fundraising gaps—Thanedar holds over $5 million cash-on-hand. No major developments in the past 30 days; ratings unchanged. Upsets would require a post-primary Democratic scandal, GOP turnout surge, or crossover voting, defying district history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$35,598结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris winning 69% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic House election winner. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a competitive August 4 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney and Mary Waters, but the victor is poised for a comfortable general election victory on November 3, mirroring Thanedar's prior 68-71% margins over perennial Republican foe Martell Bivings amid a fragmented five-candidate GOP field. Independent Maurice Morton poses minimal threat given fundraising gaps—Thanedar holds over $5 million cash-on-hand. No major developments in the past 30 days; ratings unchanged. Upsets would require a post-primary Democratic scandal, GOP turnout surge, or crossover voting, defying district history.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,598结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris winning 69% in 2024, anchors trader consensus at overwhelming odds for a Democratic House election winner. Incumbent Shri Thanedar faces a competitive August 4 Democratic primary against challengers including Donavan McKinney and Mary Waters, but the victor is poised for a comfortable general election victory on November 3, mirroring Thanedar's prior 68-71% margins over perennial Republican foe Martell Bivings amid a fragmented five-candidate GOP field. Independent Maurice Morton poses minimal threat given fundraising gaps—Thanedar holds over $5 million cash-on-hand. No major developments in the past 30 days; ratings unchanged. Upsets would require a post-primary Democratic scandal, GOP turnout surge, or crossover voting, defying district history.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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