Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing portions of Detroit and surrounding Wayne County suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in consistent general election margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar, resolving the main internal contest in this open-seat race. The Republican nominee, Taras Nykoriak, advanced without significant opposition and faces structural headwinds from the district's voter composition and turnout patterns. Trader consensus around a Democratic victory aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,928 交易量
$48,928 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
1%
$48,928 交易量
$48,928 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$28,960 交易量
97%
共和党
$19,968 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing portions of Detroit and surrounding Wayne County suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in consistent general election margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar, resolving the main internal contest in this open-seat race. The Republican nominee, Taras Nykoriak, advanced without significant opposition and faces structural headwinds from the district's voter composition and turnout patterns. Trader consensus around a Democratic victory aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$48,928结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing portions of Detroit and surrounding Wayne County suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in consistent general election margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar, resolving the main internal contest in this open-seat race. The Republican nominee, Taras Nykoriak, advanced without significant opposition and faces structural headwinds from the district's voter composition and turnout patterns. Trader consensus around a Democratic victory aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,928结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 13th congressional district, encompassing portions of Detroit and surrounding Wayne County suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in consistent general election margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. The August 4, 2026, Democratic primary produced nominee Donavan McKinney after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar, resolving the main internal contest in this open-seat race. The Republican nominee, Taras Nykoriak, advanced without significant opposition and faces structural headwinds from the district's voter composition and turnout patterns. Trader consensus around a Democratic victory aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected redistricting, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outlook before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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