Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Burlison's 71.6% victory over Democrat Missi Hesketh in 2024—mirroring his 70.9% 2022 win—and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore its deep-red status, with Trump carrying 69.7% in 2024. Burlison leads fundraising with over $857,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Hesketh's $20,000. The August 4 primaries loom, but an upset would require Burlison's defeat by low-profile GOP challengers John Casey or Grayson Hunt, or a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or stronger Democratic recruit—scenarios traders view as remote given historical base rates for safe seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,120 交易量
$19,120 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$19,120 交易量
$19,120 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$15,755 交易量
94%
民主党
$3,365 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Burlison's 71.6% victory over Democrat Missi Hesketh in 2024—mirroring his 70.9% 2022 win—and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore its deep-red status, with Trump carrying 69.7% in 2024. Burlison leads fundraising with over $857,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Hesketh's $20,000. The August 4 primaries loom, but an upset would require Burlison's defeat by low-profile GOP challengers John Casey or Grayson Hunt, or a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or stronger Democratic recruit—scenarios traders view as remote given historical base rates for safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$19,120结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Burlison's 71.6% victory over Democrat Missi Hesketh in 2024—mirroring his 70.9% 2022 win—and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore its deep-red status, with Trump carrying 69.7% in 2024. Burlison leads fundraising with over $857,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Hesketh's $20,000. The August 4 primaries loom, but an upset would require Burlison's defeat by low-profile GOP challengers John Casey or Grayson Hunt, or a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or stronger Democratic recruit—scenarios traders view as remote given historical base rates for safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,120结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Eric Burlison's commanding position in Missouri's 7th Congressional District drives trader consensus toward a 93.5% implied probability for the Republican Party in the November 3, 2026, general election. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Burlison's 71.6% victory over Democrat Missi Hesketh in 2024—mirroring his 70.9% 2022 win—and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball underscore its deep-red status, with Trump carrying 69.7% in 2024. Burlison leads fundraising with over $857,000 cash on hand as of late March, dwarfing Hesketh's $20,000. The August 4 primaries loom, but an upset would require Burlison's defeat by low-profile GOP challengers John Casey or Grayson Hunt, or a major scandal, national Democratic wave, or stronger Democratic recruit—scenarios traders view as remote given historical base rates for safe seats.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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