In Texas's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index, state Rep. Steve Toth's March primary upset over incumbent Dan Crenshaw—fueled by strong conservative base turnout—has cemented GOP trader consensus at 87% for a Republican victory on November 3. The district's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, Toth's alignment with party hardliners, and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie's limited resources and name recognition explain the lopsided pricing amid Republicans' slim 217-212 House majority. No recent polls or developments have shifted dynamics, though national midterm pressures could influence turnout in this safe seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
73%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,272 交易量
73%
民主党
$4,417 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index, state Rep. Steve Toth's March primary upset over incumbent Dan Crenshaw—fueled by strong conservative base turnout—has cemented GOP trader consensus at 87% for a Republican victory on November 3. The district's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, Toth's alignment with party hardliners, and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie's limited resources and name recognition explain the lopsided pricing amid Republicans' slim 217-212 House majority. No recent polls or developments have shifted dynamics, though national midterm pressures could influence turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$8,689结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index, state Rep. Steve Toth's March primary upset over incumbent Dan Crenshaw—fueled by strong conservative base turnout—has cemented GOP trader consensus at 87% for a Republican victory on November 3. The district's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, Toth's alignment with party hardliners, and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie's limited resources and name recognition explain the lopsided pricing amid Republicans' slim 217-212 House majority. No recent polls or developments have shifted dynamics, though national midterm pressures could influence turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,689结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas's 2nd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with an R+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index, state Rep. Steve Toth's March primary upset over incumbent Dan Crenshaw—fueled by strong conservative base turnout—has cemented GOP trader consensus at 87% for a Republican victory on November 3. The district's consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, Toth's alignment with party hardliners, and Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie's limited resources and name recognition explain the lopsided pricing amid Republicans' slim 217-212 House majority. No recent polls or developments have shifted dynamics, though national midterm pressures could influence turnout in this safe seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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