The strong Republican lean of Texas's 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86%. Steve Toth secured the GOP nod after defeating longtime incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary, preserving party control in a suburban Houston seat redrawn to favor Republicans. Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido faces structural headwinds from the district's voting history and limited crossover appeal. With the November general election approaching and no major late shifts in polling or candidate positioning reported, the implied probability reflects entrenched partisan patterns rather than a competitive contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,992 交易量
$11,992 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
86%
民主党
12%
$11,992 交易量
$11,992 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$6,149 交易量
86%
民主党
$5,842 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Texas's 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86%. Steve Toth secured the GOP nod after defeating longtime incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary, preserving party control in a suburban Houston seat redrawn to favor Republicans. Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido faces structural headwinds from the district's voting history and limited crossover appeal. With the November general election approaching and no major late shifts in polling or candidate positioning reported, the implied probability reflects entrenched partisan patterns rather than a competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$11,992结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Texas's 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86%. Steve Toth secured the GOP nod after defeating longtime incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary, preserving party control in a suburban Houston seat redrawn to favor Republicans. Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido faces structural headwinds from the district's voting history and limited crossover appeal. With the November general election approaching and no major late shifts in polling or candidate positioning reported, the implied probability reflects entrenched partisan patterns rather than a competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,992结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Texas's 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 86%. Steve Toth secured the GOP nod after defeating longtime incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March primary, preserving party control in a suburban Houston seat redrawn to favor Republicans. Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido faces structural headwinds from the district's voting history and limited crossover appeal. With the November general election approaching and no major late shifts in polling or candidate positioning reported, the implied probability reflects entrenched partisan patterns rather than a competitive contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题