**Constitutional barriers, Venezuelan sovereignty assertions, and absence of any legislative process anchor the 97.7% trader consensus on "No."** US statehood under Article IV requires congressional majorities and presidential signature, plus consent from the prospective state—standards unmet by a sovereign South American nation following the January 2026 US intervention that removed Nicolás Maduro. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected the notion in official statements, stressing independence and non-colonial status after President Trump’s March and May 2026 remarks linking statehood to oil resources. No bills, referendums, or diplomatic negotiations have advanced the idea, and recent August developments center on oil-field agreements rather than annexation. Only an unprecedented Venezuelan petition combined with rapid congressional action before the December 31, 2026 resolution date could shift probabilities, a scenario viewed as remote given entrenched legal and political obstacles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
2% 概率
$393,411 交易量
$393,411 交易量
2026-12-30
是
2% 概率
$393,411 交易量
$393,411 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Constitutional barriers, Venezuelan sovereignty assertions, and absence of any legislative process anchor the 97.7% trader consensus on "No."** US statehood under Article IV requires congressional majorities and presidential signature, plus consent from the prospective state—standards unmet by a sovereign South American nation following the January 2026 US intervention that removed Nicolás Maduro. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected the notion in official statements, stressing independence and non-colonial status after President Trump’s March and May 2026 remarks linking statehood to oil resources. No bills, referendums, or diplomatic negotiations have advanced the idea, and recent August developments center on oil-field agreements rather than annexation. Only an unprecedented Venezuelan petition combined with rapid congressional action before the December 31, 2026 resolution date could shift probabilities, a scenario viewed as remote given entrenched legal and political obstacles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$393,411结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Constitutional barriers, Venezuelan sovereignty assertions, and absence of any legislative process anchor the 97.7% trader consensus on "No."** US statehood under Article IV requires congressional majorities and presidential signature, plus consent from the prospective state—standards unmet by a sovereign South American nation following the January 2026 US intervention that removed Nicolás Maduro. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected the notion in official statements, stressing independence and non-colonial status after President Trump’s March and May 2026 remarks linking statehood to oil resources. No bills, referendums, or diplomatic negotiations have advanced the idea, and recent August developments center on oil-field agreements rather than annexation. Only an unprecedented Venezuelan petition combined with rapid congressional action before the December 31, 2026 resolution date could shift probabilities, a scenario viewed as remote given entrenched legal and political obstacles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$393,411结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET**Constitutional barriers, Venezuelan sovereignty assertions, and absence of any legislative process anchor the 97.7% trader consensus on "No."** US statehood under Article IV requires congressional majorities and presidential signature, plus consent from the prospective state—standards unmet by a sovereign South American nation following the January 2026 US intervention that removed Nicolás Maduro. Acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected the notion in official statements, stressing independence and non-colonial status after President Trump’s March and May 2026 remarks linking statehood to oil resources. No bills, referendums, or diplomatic negotiations have advanced the idea, and recent August developments center on oil-field agreements rather than annexation. Only an unprecedented Venezuelan petition combined with rapid congressional action before the December 31, 2026 resolution date could shift probabilities, a scenario viewed as remote given entrenched legal and political obstacles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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