Republican majorities in the House and Senate continue to limit prospects for impeachment action against President Trump through the end of 2026. Isolated Democratic resolutions introduced this spring over foreign policy statements have been tabled without advancing to a floor vote, consistent with the procedural realities of a divided Congress. Traders price the current implied probability of a House impeachment at just 13 percent, reflecting the high threshold for majority support within the president's own party and the compressed timeline before the November midterms. Any shift in chamber control after those elections would leave limited legislative days for new proceedings before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
$709,151 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in the House and Senate continue to limit prospects for impeachment action against President Trump through the end of 2026. Isolated Democratic resolutions introduced this spring over foreign policy statements have been tabled without advancing to a floor vote, consistent with the procedural realities of a divided Congress. Traders price the current implied probability of a House impeachment at just 13 percent, reflecting the high threshold for majority support within the president's own party and the compressed timeline before the November midterms. Any shift in chamber control after those elections would leave limited legislative days for new proceedings before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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