Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress represent the primary barrier to impeachment by the end of 2026, as House passage of articles requires a simple majority and Senate conviction demands a two-thirds vote that has proven elusive in prior proceedings. With Republicans holding slim edges in the House and a clear Senate majority as of August 2026, Democratic-led resolutions have stalled without advancing. Midterm elections in November introduce the main variable, though any resulting power shift would leave limited time before year-end for new leadership to organize and complete the process. Trader consensus at 98% for no impeachment reflects these structural and partisan hurdles, while low-probability paths to reversal would require unprecedented bipartisan defections or rapid post-election action amid ongoing investigations into administration conduct.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,004,578 交易量
$1,004,578 交易量
是
$1,004,578 交易量
$1,004,578 交易量
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress represent the primary barrier to impeachment by the end of 2026, as House passage of articles requires a simple majority and Senate conviction demands a two-thirds vote that has proven elusive in prior proceedings. With Republicans holding slim edges in the House and a clear Senate majority as of August 2026, Democratic-led resolutions have stalled without advancing. Midterm elections in November introduce the main variable, though any resulting power shift would leave limited time before year-end for new leadership to organize and complete the process. Trader consensus at 98% for no impeachment reflects these structural and partisan hurdles, while low-probability paths to reversal would require unprecedented bipartisan defections or rapid post-election action amid ongoing investigations into administration conduct.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题