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icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·United States

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·United States

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.1%

Jon Ossoff 15.6%

Gavin Newsom 13.2%

Kamala Harris 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,283,216,907 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.1%

Jon Ossoff 15.6%

Gavin Newsom 13.2%

Kamala Harris 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,283,216,907 Vol.

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$15,224,973 Vol.

18%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$12,960,190 Vol.

16%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$27,717,291 Vol.

13%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$13,502,051 Vol.

8%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$10,006,716 Vol.

6%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$12,053,807 Vol.

5%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$17,600,594 Vol.

3%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$13,268,403 Vol.

3%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$10,670,151 Vol.

2%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$14,580,984 Vol.

2%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$18,421,965 Vol.

2%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$11,290,597 Vol.

1%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$15,748,142 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12,514,069 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$12,119,520 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$50,542,998 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$26,316,790 Vol.

1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$32,296,848 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$44,500,658 Vol.

1%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$24,766,678 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$52,748,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy

$17,407,784 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$23,130,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$26,322,214 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$44,061,405 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$23,050,053 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$35,774,348 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$38,947,327 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$31,583,588 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$27,407,466 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$34,171,432 Vol.

<1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$42,887,930 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$48,737,447 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

$36,469,612 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego

$8,809,374 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abigail Spanberger

Abigail Spanberger

$3,081,212 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$2,132,814 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

$1,613,201 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Stein

Josh Stein

$2,377,469 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$43,496,175 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$25,657,731 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$38,531,383 Vol.

<1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$43,985,171 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$43,452,157 Vol.

<1%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$41,006,436 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$54,419,142 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$42,812,667 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$42,919,396 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Platner

Graham Platner

$8,531,235 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff

$655,801 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alex Padilla

Alex Padilla

$932,669 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market remains tightly contested, with top outcomes clustered below 19 percent implied probability, as traders price in a wide-open field lacking an established frontrunner two years before primaries. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff have edged ahead on momentum from polling gains in early states and Ossoff’s strong positioning in his Georgia Senate race, while Gavin Newsom’s prior lead has narrowed amid questions over statewide appeal and broader electability. Kamala Harris and other governors or senators trail further, reflecting uncertainty over post-2024 party direction and the impact of 2026 midterm results on candidate viability. Upcoming Senate contests and any formal declarations could shift probabilities by clarifying fundraising, endorsements, and voter coalitions across progressive and moderate factions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,283,216,907
End Date
Nov 8, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market remains tightly contested, with top outcomes clustered below 19 percent implied probability, as traders price in a wide-open field lacking an established frontrunner two years before primaries. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff have edged ahead on momentum from polling gains in early states and Ossoff’s strong positioning in his Georgia Senate race, while Gavin Newsom’s prior lead has narrowed amid questions over statewide appeal and broader electability. Kamala Harris and other governors or senators trail further, reflecting uncertainty over post-2024 party direction and the impact of 2026 midterm results on candidate viability. Upcoming Senate contests and any formal declarations could shift probabilities by clarifying fundraising, endorsements, and voter coalitions across progressive and moderate factions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,283,216,907
End Date
Nov 8, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 18%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $1.3 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.