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icon for Hamilton Mayoral Election
Politics·Canada

Hamilton Mayoral Election

icon for Hamilton Mayoral Election
Politics·Canada

Hamilton Mayoral Election

Keanin Loomis 55%

Andrea Horwath 37%

Scarlett Gillespie 7.0%

Sasha Austin 5.4%

Polymarket

$14,113 Vol.

Keanin Loomis 55%

Andrea Horwath 37%

Scarlett Gillespie 7.0%

Sasha Austin 5.4%

Polymarket

$14,113 Vol.

icon for Keanin Loomis

Keanin Loomis

$7,934 Vol.

55%

icon for Andrea Horwath

Andrea Horwath

$2,039 Vol.

37%

icon for Scarlett Gillespie

Scarlett Gillespie

$1,136 Vol.

7%

icon for Sasha Austin

Sasha Austin

$1,580 Vol.

5%

icon for Pamela Mitchell

Pamela Mitchell

$175 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Fromm

Paul Fromm

$398 Vol.

1%

icon for Rob Cooper

Rob Cooper

$333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ejaz Butt

Ejaz Butt

$258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nathalie Xian Yi Yan

Nathalie Xian Yi Yan

$261 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The Hamilton mayoral race features a rematch between incumbent Andrea Horwath and 2022 runner-up Keanin Loomis, with the October 26 election one month away and trader pricing reflecting a modest edge for Loomis. Recent developments center on responses to U.S. tariff pressures, including Horwath’s September 21 seven-point “Head of Lake Ontario Plan” for local procurement and business support, followed by Loomis’s earlier platform emphasizing buy-Canadian priorities and tax deferrals. Broader campaign themes include housing supply, infrastructure renewal, property taxes, urban boundary expansion, and city-hall transparency, with multiple debates scheduled through early October. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates keeps the contest fragmented, while historical patterns of low incumbent re-election rates in Hamilton since amalgamation add uncertainty that could shift with final-week polling or turnout among core voting blocs.

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
Volume
$14,113
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The Hamilton mayoral race features a rematch between incumbent Andrea Horwath and 2022 runner-up Keanin Loomis, with the October 26 election one month away and trader pricing reflecting a modest edge for Loomis. Recent developments center on responses to U.S. tariff pressures, including Horwath’s September 21 seven-point “Head of Lake Ontario Plan” for local procurement and business support, followed by Loomis’s earlier platform emphasizing buy-Canadian priorities and tax deferrals. Broader campaign themes include housing supply, infrastructure renewal, property taxes, urban boundary expansion, and city-hall transparency, with multiple debates scheduled through early October. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates keeps the contest fragmented, while historical patterns of low incumbent re-election rates in Hamilton since amalgamation add uncertainty that could shift with final-week polling or turnout among core voting blocs.

The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.The 2026 Hamilton, ON mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hamilton as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Hamilton.
Volume
$14,113
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hamilton Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keanin Loomis" at 55%, followed by "Andrea Horwath" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hamilton Mayoral Election" has generated $14.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hamilton Mayoral Election," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hamilton Mayoral Election" is "Keanin Loomis" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andrea Horwath" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hamilton Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.