Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate a highest temperature in Ankara today likely between 18°C and 20°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes. At 890 meters elevation on the central Anatolian plateau, the city experiences typical mid-May variability driven by continental air masses and orographic effects that moderate daytime maxima. Current observations show stable high-pressure influence with light winds, limiting convective warming and keeping values close to the seasonal average of 21–22°C rather than pushing toward summer-like extremes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs confirm minimal deviation expected before sunset, supporting trader consensus while acknowledging that late-day frontal shifts could still nudge readings by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
20°C 35%
19°C 32%
18°C 22%
17°C 6.3%
$19,674 Vol.
$19,674 Vol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
32%
20°C
35%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 35%
19°C 32%
18°C 22%
17°C 6.3%
$19,674 Vol.
$19,674 Vol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$666 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,035 Vol.
2%
17°C
$1,754 Vol.
6%
18°C
$2,109 Vol.
22%
19°C
$2,483 Vol.
32%
20°C
$1,903 Vol.
35%
21°C
$2,205 Vol.
4%
22°C
$3,008 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$2,609 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate a highest temperature in Ankara today likely between 18°C and 20°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes. At 890 meters elevation on the central Anatolian plateau, the city experiences typical mid-May variability driven by continental air masses and orographic effects that moderate daytime maxima. Current observations show stable high-pressure influence with light winds, limiting convective warming and keeping values close to the seasonal average of 21–22°C rather than pushing toward summer-like extremes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs confirm minimal deviation expected before sunset, supporting trader consensus while acknowledging that late-day frontal shifts could still nudge readings by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$19,674End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate a highest temperature in Ankara today likely between 18°C and 20°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes. At 890 meters elevation on the central Anatolian plateau, the city experiences typical mid-May variability driven by continental air masses and orographic effects that moderate daytime maxima. Current observations show stable high-pressure influence with light winds, limiting convective warming and keeping values close to the seasonal average of 21–22°C rather than pushing toward summer-like extremes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs confirm minimal deviation expected before sunset, supporting trader consensus while acknowledging that late-day frontal shifts could still nudge readings by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$19,674End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate a highest temperature in Ankara today likely between 18°C and 20°C, aligning with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes. At 890 meters elevation on the central Anatolian plateau, the city experiences typical mid-May variability driven by continental air masses and orographic effects that moderate daytime maxima. Current observations show stable high-pressure influence with light winds, limiting convective warming and keeping values close to the seasonal average of 21–22°C rather than pushing toward summer-like extremes. Updated numerical weather prediction runs confirm minimal deviation expected before sunset, supporting trader consensus while acknowledging that late-day frontal shifts could still nudge readings by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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