Current forecast models from major meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 most likely between 15°C and 18°C, driven by an incoming cooler air mass and scattered precipitation that limits daytime heating on the central Anatolian plateau. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs typically reach 20–22°C, but recent ECMWF and GFS runs show suppressed warming from increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader consensus clusters around the 16–18°C brackets because ensemble guidance indicates only modest variability in peak values, with minimal risk of extremes above 19°C or below 14°C given the short remaining forecast window and stable surface pressure patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on May 18?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 18?
17°C 34%
18°C 25%
16°C 24%
15°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
9%
16°C
24%
17°C
34%
18°C
25%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
3%
17°C 34%
18°C 25%
16°C 24%
15°C 9%
NEW
NEW
May 18, 2026
10°C or below
$325 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$126 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$132 Vol.
1%
13°C
$128 Vol.
1%
14°C
$35 Vol.
4%
15°C
$32 Vol.
9%
16°C
$32 Vol.
24%
17°C
$242 Vol.
34%
18°C
$42 Vol.
25%
19°C
$13 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$73 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from major meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 most likely between 15°C and 18°C, driven by an incoming cooler air mass and scattered precipitation that limits daytime heating on the central Anatolian plateau. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs typically reach 20–22°C, but recent ECMWF and GFS runs show suppressed warming from increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader consensus clusters around the 16–18°C brackets because ensemble guidance indicates only modest variability in peak values, with minimal risk of extremes above 19°C or below 14°C given the short remaining forecast window and stable surface pressure patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,161End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from major meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 most likely between 15°C and 18°C, driven by an incoming cooler air mass and scattered precipitation that limits daytime heating on the central Anatolian plateau. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs typically reach 20–22°C, but recent ECMWF and GFS runs show suppressed warming from increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader consensus clusters around the 16–18°C brackets because ensemble guidance indicates only modest variability in peak values, with minimal risk of extremes above 19°C or below 14°C given the short remaining forecast window and stable surface pressure patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,161End Date
May 18, 2026Market Opened
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACCurrent forecast models from major meteorological agencies point to a highest temperature in Ankara on May 18 most likely between 15°C and 18°C, driven by an incoming cooler air mass and scattered precipitation that limits daytime heating on the central Anatolian plateau. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs typically reach 20–22°C, but recent ECMWF and GFS runs show suppressed warming from increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Trader consensus clusters around the 16–18°C brackets because ensemble guidance indicates only modest variability in peak values, with minimal risk of extremes above 19°C or below 14°C given the short remaining forecast window and stable surface pressure patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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