Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-average day in Austin on June 15, with daytime highs most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. A passing frontal boundary and elevated moisture are suppressing maximum temperatures well below the June climatological average of 93°F, while steering flow keeps warmer air masses displaced northward. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, though slight variations in timing of convection could shift the daily high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 82–85°F bins aligns closely with this consensus outlook, with lower-probability tails accounting for possible model shifts or clearer skies before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 18%
86-87°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-15
73°F or below
$84 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$249 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$209 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$510 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$536 交易量
18%
82-83°F
$685 交易量
37%
84-85°F
$676 交易量
26%
86-87°F
$1,307 交易量
8%
88-89°F
$743 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$2,475 交易量
1%
92°F or higher
$2,573 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-average day in Austin on June 15, with daytime highs most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. A passing frontal boundary and elevated moisture are suppressing maximum temperatures well below the June climatological average of 93°F, while steering flow keeps warmer air masses displaced northward. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, though slight variations in timing of convection could shift the daily high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 82–85°F bins aligns closely with this consensus outlook, with lower-probability tails accounting for possible model shifts or clearer skies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$9,959結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-average day in Austin on June 15, with daytime highs most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. A passing frontal boundary and elevated moisture are suppressing maximum temperatures well below the June climatological average of 93°F, while steering flow keeps warmer air masses displaced northward. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, though slight variations in timing of convection could shift the daily high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 82–85°F bins aligns closely with this consensus outlook, with lower-probability tails accounting for possible model shifts or clearer skies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,959結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-average day in Austin on June 15, with daytime highs most likely peaking in the low-to-mid 80s amid increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. A passing frontal boundary and elevated moisture are suppressing maximum temperatures well below the June climatological average of 93°F, while steering flow keeps warmer air masses displaced northward. Ensemble forecasts show limited spread around these values, though slight variations in timing of convection could shift the daily high by a degree or two. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 82–85°F bins aligns closely with this consensus outlook, with lower-probability tails accounting for possible model shifts or clearer skies before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions