Latest meteorological forecasts from official agencies project a daily maximum temperature of 19°C in Beijing today, driving the near-certain market positioning through consistent numerical model outputs and current surface observations. Stable high-pressure systems over northern China are suppressing warmer advection while allowing typical springtime diurnal heating, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around this value. Historical mid-May averages for the capital hover near 22–24°C, yet the present synoptic pattern favors the lower end of the climatological range. Minor shifts could still occur from localized cloud cover or timing of any weak frontal passage, though resolution criteria tied to official station readings leave little room for deviation from the leading outcome as the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$134,549 Vol.
$134,549 Vol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$134,549 Vol.
$134,549 Vol.
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$533 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$30,787 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,780 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$6,602 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$8,803 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,363 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28,632 Vol.
100%
20°C
$17,135 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$6,289 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$8,694 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$10,964 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts from official agencies project a daily maximum temperature of 19°C in Beijing today, driving the near-certain market positioning through consistent numerical model outputs and current surface observations. Stable high-pressure systems over northern China are suppressing warmer advection while allowing typical springtime diurnal heating, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around this value. Historical mid-May averages for the capital hover near 22–24°C, yet the present synoptic pattern favors the lower end of the climatological range. Minor shifts could still occur from localized cloud cover or timing of any weak frontal passage, though resolution criteria tied to official station readings leave little room for deviation from the leading outcome as the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$134,549End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest meteorological forecasts from official agencies project a daily maximum temperature of 19°C in Beijing today, driving the near-certain market positioning through consistent numerical model outputs and current surface observations. Stable high-pressure systems over northern China are suppressing warmer advection while allowing typical springtime diurnal heating, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around this value. Historical mid-May averages for the capital hover near 22–24°C, yet the present synoptic pattern favors the lower end of the climatological range. Minor shifts could still occur from localized cloud cover or timing of any weak frontal passage, though resolution criteria tied to official station readings leave little room for deviation from the leading outcome as the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$134,549End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAALatest meteorological forecasts from official agencies project a daily maximum temperature of 19°C in Beijing today, driving the near-certain market positioning through consistent numerical model outputs and current surface observations. Stable high-pressure systems over northern China are suppressing warmer advection while allowing typical springtime diurnal heating, with ensemble guidance showing minimal spread around this value. Historical mid-May averages for the capital hover near 22–24°C, yet the present synoptic pattern favors the lower end of the climatological range. Minor shifts could still occur from localized cloud cover or timing of any weak frontal passage, though resolution criteria tied to official station readings leave little room for deviation from the leading outcome as the observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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