Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
18°C 42%
19°C 40%
20°C 16%
17°C 5%
NEW
$11,824 Vol.
NEW
$11,824 Vol.
May 14, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
42%
19°C
40%
20°C
16%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 42%
19°C 40%
20°C 16%
17°C 5%
NEW
$11,824 Vol.
NEW
$11,824 Vol.
May 14, 2026
12°C or below
$770 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,349 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$843 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$737 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,257 Vol.
5%
18°C
$1,403 Vol.
42%
19°C
$1,048 Vol.
40%
20°C
$1,495 Vol.
16%
21°C
$677 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$1,094 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$11,824End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,824End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following a disruptive cold front with heavy rain and gale-force winds through May 11-13 that suppressed temperatures, South African Weather Service (SAWS) and other forecasts indicate clearing skies and a rebound for Cape Town on May 14, with daytime highs clustering around 18-20°C under a high-pressure ridge. SAWS-linked outlooks project a maximum near 19°C with sunny to partly cloudy conditions, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring 19°C (39.5%), 20°C (34.5%), and 18°C (30.0%), reflecting model ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS where minor differences in afternoon cloud breaks, southerly sea breezes, and insolation timing create the tight uncertainty. May climatological averages hover at 19°C, but lingering post-frontal cooling versus solar warming differentiates outcomes; airport observations will resolve by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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