Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a high of 31°C in Chongqing on May 14 under cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, while BBC and AccuWeather models align near 30°C with partial sun and potential evening showers, fueling the market's razor-thin split between 29°C and 30°C at 29-30.5% implied probabilities. Recent underperformance—May 12's observed 25°C high amid persistent overcast—highlights uncertainty in afternoon insolation, as basin topography amplifies heat but clouds cap peaks above historical May averages of 27-28°C. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with key differentiators being cloud-break timing and subtropical ridge strength; Jiangbei Airport hourly data will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 14?
30°C 31%
29°C 28%
28°C 18%
27°C 8.5%
$20,559 Vol.
$20,559 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
18%
29°C
28%
30°C
31%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
29°C 28%
28°C 18%
27°C 8.5%
$20,559 Vol.
$20,559 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
9%
28°C
18%
29°C
28%
30°C
31%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project a high of 31°C in Chongqing on May 14 under cloudy conditions with light easterly winds, while BBC and AccuWeather models align near 30°C with partial sun and potential evening showers, fueling the market's razor-thin split between 29°C and 30°C at 29-30.5% implied probabilities. Recent underperformance—May 12's observed 25°C high amid persistent overcast—highlights uncertainty in afternoon insolation, as basin topography amplifies heat but clouds cap peaks above historical May averages of 27-28°C. Trader sentiment reflects this balance, with key differentiators being cloud-break timing and subtropical ridge strength; Jiangbei Airport hourly data will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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