Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 28–30°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport's May 14 high temperature, reflecting uncertainty in latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which cluster around 29°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering partly sunny conditions and robust diurnal heating in the Yangtze basin. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup—favoring 28°C per overcast scenarios in timeanddate.com projections (30°C high)—versus sustained clear skies pushing to 30°C as hinted by AccuWeather's 32°C outlier adjusted downward by ensembles. Historical May averages near 28°C add baseline context, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations resolving within 1°C margins tomorrow. New CMA updates overnight could shift odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 14?
29°C 28%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
27°C 10.9%
$21,246 Vol.
$21,246 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
19%
29°C
28%
30°C
26%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
30°C 26%
28°C 19%
27°C 10.9%
$21,246 Vol.
$21,246 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
11%
28°C
19%
29°C
28%
30°C
26%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 28–30°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport's May 14 high temperature, reflecting uncertainty in latest China Meteorological Administration guidance and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which cluster around 29°C amid a subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering partly sunny conditions and robust diurnal heating in the Yangtze basin. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup—favoring 28°C per overcast scenarios in timeanddate.com projections (30°C high)—versus sustained clear skies pushing to 30°C as hinted by AccuWeather's 32°C outlier adjusted downward by ensembles. Historical May averages near 28°C add baseline context, with resolution hinging on official hourly observations resolving within 1°C margins tomorrow. New CMA updates overnight could shift odds further.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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