Current ensemble forecasts from global weather models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Chongqing on May 19 centered around 26–27 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 27 °C amid increasing subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover that moderates peak values. Short-term model runs show minor spread due to uncertain low-level humidity and possible brief rain, keeping exact outcomes closely contested between 25 °C and 28 °C. Historical data confirm standard daily ranges of 24–30 °C this time of year, with official updates from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 19?
26°C 23%
27°C 18%
25°C 13%
23°C 9%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
23%
27°C
18%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 23%
27°C 18%
25°C 13%
23°C 9%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
23%
27°C
18%
28°C
9%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKCurrent ensemble forecasts from global weather models indicate a daily maximum temperature in Chongqing on May 19 centered around 26–27 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects typical mid-May climatology, where average highs reach 27 °C amid increasing subtropical moisture and variable cloud cover that moderates peak values. Short-term model runs show minor spread due to uncertain low-level humidity and possible brief rain, keeping exact outcomes closely contested between 25 °C and 28 °C. Historical data confirm standard daily ranges of 24–30 °C this time of year, with official updates from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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