Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (42.5% implied probability) or 13°C (29.5%) in London on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updates from May 13 afternoon, projecting a daytime maximum of 13°C at London City Airport under light showers and northwesterly winds gusting to 21 mph. A persistent low-pressure system is advecting cool Atlantic air, with cloud cover and 50-80% precipitation chances midday suppressing solar heating and capping hourly peaks around 12°C in the afternoon. BBC Weather aligns at 13°C high amid light rain showers. Below-average conditions reflect recent blustery showers on May 13 (max 15°C), contrasting May climatological norms of 16-17°C; new evening model runs could refine this before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on May 14?
Highest temperature in London on May 14?
12°C 43%
13°C 30%
11°C 14.5%
14°C 12%
$73,510 Vol.
$73,510 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
15%
12°C
43%
13°C
30%
14°C
12%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 43%
13°C 30%
11°C 14.5%
14°C 12%
$73,510 Vol.
$73,510 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
15%
12°C
43%
13°C
30%
14°C
12%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (42.5% implied probability) or 13°C (29.5%) in London on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updates from May 13 afternoon, projecting a daytime maximum of 13°C at London City Airport under light showers and northwesterly winds gusting to 21 mph. A persistent low-pressure system is advecting cool Atlantic air, with cloud cover and 50-80% precipitation chances midday suppressing solar heating and capping hourly peaks around 12°C in the afternoon. BBC Weather aligns at 13°C high amid light rain showers. Below-average conditions reflect recent blustery showers on May 13 (max 15°C), contrasting May climatological norms of 16-17°C; new evening model runs could refine this before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions