Official observations from the National Weather Service recorded a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on August 4, underpinning the market’s full consensus on that narrow range. Subtropical summer conditions, including typical Gulf Stream moderation and afternoon sea-breeze effects, produced standard late-summer readings consistent with long-term August climatology near 90°F. Forecast models had converged on this outcome days earlier, and no heat-wave or anomalous high-pressure setup altered the pattern. While final quality-controlled data releases could theoretically shift a preliminary value by a degree, such revisions remain rare for primary airport stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 4?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 4?
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$49,513 Vol.
$49,513 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$49,513 Vol.
$49,513 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
79°F or below
$347 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$721 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$1,420 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$2,229 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,515 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$7,030 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$14,280 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$9,083 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$6,564 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,233 Vol.
No
98°F or higher
$1,091 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service recorded a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on August 4, underpinning the market’s full consensus on that narrow range. Subtropical summer conditions, including typical Gulf Stream moderation and afternoon sea-breeze effects, produced standard late-summer readings consistent with long-term August climatology near 90°F. Forecast models had converged on this outcome days earlier, and no heat-wave or anomalous high-pressure setup altered the pattern. While final quality-controlled data releases could theoretically shift a preliminary value by a degree, such revisions remain rare for primary airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$49,513End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the National Weather Service recorded a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on August 4, underpinning the market’s full consensus on that narrow range. Subtropical summer conditions, including typical Gulf Stream moderation and afternoon sea-breeze effects, produced standard late-summer readings consistent with long-term August climatology near 90°F. Forecast models had converged on this outcome days earlier, and no heat-wave or anomalous high-pressure setup altered the pattern. While final quality-controlled data releases could theoretically shift a preliminary value by a degree, such revisions remain rare for primary airport stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,513End Date
Aug 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service recorded a daily maximum temperature of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on August 4, underpinning the market’s full consensus on that narrow range. Subtropical summer conditions, including typical Gulf Stream moderation and afternoon sea-breeze effects, produced standard late-summer readings consistent with long-term August climatology near 90°F. Forecast models had converged on this outcome days earlier, and no heat-wave or anomalous high-pressure setup altered the pattern. While final quality-controlled data releases could theoretically shift a preliminary value by a degree, such revisions remain rare for primary airport stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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