Recent forecast updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Munich today, driven by moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits solar heating. This positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of current surface observations and model consensus. Persistent cool advection from the North Sea has kept temperatures below the May climatological average of 18–19°C, while clearing skies this afternoon could allow brief warming to 17°C. Key resolution thresholds include the official highest reading at Munich Airport station, with final DWD verification expected after midnight; any late-day strengthening of the ridge or reduced wind speeds could shift probabilities toward the 15°C or 17°C bins still trading at meaningful volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 51%
15°C 37%
17°C 18%
18°C <1%
$26,344 Vol.
$26,344 Vol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
37%
16°C
51%
17°C
18%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
15°C 37%
17°C 18%
18°C <1%
$26,344 Vol.
$26,344 Vol.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$562 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,353 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,733 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,042 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,043 Vol.
37%
16°C
$2,797 Vol.
51%
17°C
$3,092 Vol.
18%
18°C
$2,347 Vol.
1%
19°C
$1,685 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,558 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,534 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Munich today, driven by moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits solar heating. This positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of current surface observations and model consensus. Persistent cool advection from the North Sea has kept temperatures below the May climatological average of 18–19°C, while clearing skies this afternoon could allow brief warming to 17°C. Key resolution thresholds include the official highest reading at Munich Airport station, with final DWD verification expected after midnight; any late-day strengthening of the ridge or reduced wind speeds could shift probabilities toward the 15°C or 17°C bins still trading at meaningful volume.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$26,344End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Munich today, driven by moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits solar heating. This positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of current surface observations and model consensus. Persistent cool advection from the North Sea has kept temperatures below the May climatological average of 18–19°C, while clearing skies this afternoon could allow brief warming to 17°C. Key resolution thresholds include the official highest reading at Munich Airport station, with final DWD verification expected after midnight; any late-day strengthening of the ridge or reduced wind speeds could shift probabilities toward the 15°C or 17°C bins still trading at meaningful volume.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$26,344End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMRecent forecast updates from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a daytime maximum near 16°C in Munich today, driven by moderate northwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits solar heating. This positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 57.5% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of current surface observations and model consensus. Persistent cool advection from the North Sea has kept temperatures below the May climatological average of 18–19°C, while clearing skies this afternoon could allow brief warming to 17°C. Key resolution thresholds include the official highest reading at Munich Airport station, with final DWD verification expected after midnight; any late-day strengthening of the ridge or reduced wind speeds could shift probabilities toward the 15°C or 17°C bins still trading at meaningful volume.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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