Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 62%
15°C 28%
17°C 9%
14°C <1%
$68,928 Vol.
$68,928 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
28%
16°C
62%
17°C
9%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 62%
15°C 28%
17°C 9%
14°C <1%
$68,928 Vol.
$68,928 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$5,959 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$9,157 Vol.
1%
15°C
$8,316 Vol.
28%
16°C
$9,385 Vol.
62%
17°C
$8,411 Vol.
9%
18°C
$7,553 Vol.
1%
19°C
$11,147 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$3,838 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$68,928End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$68,928End Date
May 17, 2026Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent meteorological conditions over northern France have established a stable but cool air mass, with Météo-France forecasts projecting a daily maximum temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup explains the dominant market-implied odds for 16°C, as limited solar heating and higher humidity suppress warming beyond mid-teens Celsius. Ensemble models show only modest afternoon recovery potential, keeping the probability of 17°C or higher low while historical mid-May averages near 18–20°C highlight the current negative temperature anomaly. Updated guidance points to any resolution shifts hinging on final observational data from official stations by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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